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Property Crime Trends in Bishop, California: A Decade of Fluctuations
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Bishop, located in California, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, with a notable peak of 296 incidents in 2017 and a low of 84 in 2010. By 2022, the city recorded 206 property crimes, representing a 145.2% increase from 2010. During this same period, the population experienced a slight decrease of 5.6%, from 3,734 in 2010 to 3,524 in 2022.
Burglary rates in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 19 burglaries, which increased to a peak of 68 in 2017 before declining to 34 in 2022. This represents a 78.9% increase over the 12-year period. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents rose from 5.09 in 2010 to 9.65 in 2022, a 89.6% increase. The city's share of state burglaries also grew from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.03% in 2022, indicating a disproportionate increase compared to statewide trends.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, saw a substantial rise. From 62 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 217 in 2017 before settling at 160 in 2022, marking a 158.1% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 16.6 in 2010 to 45.4 in 2022, a 173.5% increase. The city's contribution to state larceny theft incidents rose from 0.01% to 0.03%, suggesting a faster growth rate than the state average.
Motor vehicle theft showed a significant upward trend. Starting with just 3 incidents in 2010, it reached 12 in 2022, a 300% increase. The rate per 1,000 residents grew from 0.8 to 3.4, a 325% increase. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0% to 0.01%, indicating a growing problem relative to state trends.
Arson data for the city is limited, with most years reporting zero incidents or no data available. This lack of consistent data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income rose from $36,085 in 2013 to $56,790 in 2022, property crime rates initially increased but then showed a declining trend from 2017 onwards. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the rise in property crimes and changes in racial demographics. The percentage of white residents increased from 67% in 2013 to 71% in 2022, coinciding with the overall increase in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Bishop could see property crime rates stabilize or slightly decrease. The burglary rate is projected to remain around 9-10 per 1,000 residents, while larceny theft might decrease to about 40 per 1,000 residents. Motor vehicle theft could potentially increase to 4-5 per 1,000 residents if current trends continue.
In conclusion, Bishop has experienced a significant increase in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in larceny theft and motor vehicle theft. These trends, when considered alongside demographic and economic changes, suggest a complex interplay of factors influencing crime rates. While recent years have shown some stabilization, ongoing monitoring and targeted interventions may be necessary to address these property crime challenges effectively.
