Motor vehicle theft in the city has been sporadic and infrequent. The highest number of incidents was 2 in 2019, with many years reporting zero thefts. The rate per 1,000 residents never exceeded 0.75 (in 2019). The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained negligible, reaching a maximum of 0.02% in 2019. This indicates that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the local community compared to other property crimes.

Arson incidents in the city have been rare, with a maximum of 2 cases reported in 2010 and single incidents in 2014, 2015, and 2018. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 0.69 in 2010 and has since remained low or zero. Notably, despite the low numbers, the city's contribution to state arson statistics was relatively high in some years, reaching 0.26% in 2010 and 0.2% in 2018. This suggests that while arson is infrequent, when it does occur, it represents a significant portion of the state's total arson cases.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate positive correlation between population density and property crime rates, with the highest crime numbers coinciding with periods of higher population density. For instance, in 2017, when property crimes peaked at 28 incidents, the population density was 4,152 people per square mile, one of the highest in the dataset.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization or slight decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the recent downward trend, we might expect to see annual property crime incidents remain in the single digits, possibly averaging 3-5 incidents per year. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously given the historical volatility in the data.

In summary, Big Sandy has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, with a general downward trend in recent years. The city's contribution to state-wide property crime statistics remains minimal across most categories, with the exception of occasional spikes in arson cases. The relationship between population density and crime rates, along with the recent decline in incidents, suggests that local crime prevention efforts may be having a positive impact. As the community moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates while addressing occasional spikes will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.