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Property Crime Trends in Battlefield, Missouri: A Decade of Resilience Amidst Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Battlefield, located in Missouri, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade, alongside significant population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes varied considerably, ranging from a low of 39 in 2022 to a high of 128 in 2021, representing a 35% decrease over the entire period. During this same timeframe, the city's population grew by 16.9%, from 10,384 in 2010 to 12,136 in 2022.
Burglary trends in the city have shown substantial variability. The number of burglaries peaked at 111 in 2021, a stark increase from just 9 cases in 2020. However, this spike was short-lived, as burglaries dropped back to 9 cases in 2022. When considering population growth, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated from 0.87 in 2010 to a high of 9.42 per 1,000 in 2021, before decreasing to 0.74 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also varied dramatically, from 0.03% in 2010 to 0.87% in 2021, indicating a significant but temporary increase in the city's contribution to state burglary statistics.
Larceny theft in the city has shown a general downward trend. From a high of 94 cases in 2015, larceny thefts decreased to 26 cases in 2022, a 72.3% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents declined from 4.72 in 2010 to 2.14 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft statistics has remained relatively low, fluctuating between 0.02% and 0.09% over the years, with the lowest percentage (0.02%) recorded in 2021.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been inconsistent. The number of cases ranged from 0 in 2018 to 11 in 2017. In 2022, there were 4 reported cases. The rate per 1,000 residents varied from 0 in 2018 to 0.92 in 2017, settling at 0.33 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts has remained relatively low, peaking at 0.07% in 2017 and dropping to 0.02% in 2022.
Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only two reported cases in 2012. This translates to a rate of 0.18 per 1,000 residents for that year. The city's contribution to state arson statistics was 0.2% in 2012, with no reported cases in other years.
There appears to be a correlation between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 4,055 per square mile in 2010 to 4,739 per square mile in 2022, property crime rates initially rose but then showed a general decline in recent years. This suggests that while increased density might have initially led to more opportunities for property crime, other factors such as improved law enforcement or community initiatives may have counteracted this trend.
Median income in the city has shown some correlation with property crime trends. As median income increased from $70,741 in 2013 to $80,311 in 2021, there was a general decrease in property crimes, with some exceptions. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on recent trends, it's projected that property crime rates in Battlefield will continue to fluctuate but may stabilize at lower levels compared to the peaks observed in previous years. By 2029 (five years from now), the city could potentially see property crime rates settle around 35-40 cases per year, assuming current socioeconomic trends and law enforcement efforts continue.
In summary, Battlefield has experienced significant variations in property crime rates over the past decade, with recent trends showing a general decline despite population growth. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained relatively low for most categories, with occasional spikes. The relationship between population density, median income, and property crime rates suggests that the city's economic growth and development have played a role in shaping its crime landscape. As Battlefield continues to evolve, maintaining focus on economic development and community safety initiatives will be crucial in sustaining the recent positive trends in property crime reduction.
