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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Athens, Illinois, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2013 to 2020, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, ranging from a high of 23 in 2016 to a low of 9 in 2019. Over this period, the population grew slightly from 3,232 in 2013 to 3,115 in 2020, representing a modest 3.6% decrease.
Burglary trends in the city show notable variations. In 2013, there were 4 burglaries, which decreased to 1 in 2014, a 75% reduction. However, the numbers increased again to 4 in 2018 before dropping to 1 in 2020. When considering population trends, the burglary rate per 1,000 people fluctuated from 1.24 in 2013 to 0.32 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained consistently low, ranging from 0.01% to 0.0% of the state total. This suggests that while burglary remains a concern, its impact on the broader state context is minimal.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, showed significant fluctuations. The highest number was recorded in 2016 with 20 incidents, while the lowest was 7 in 2019. The rate per 1,000 people varied from 2.79 in 2013 to 2.25 in 2019. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics remained low, consistently at 0.01% or less. This indicates that while larceny-theft is the predominant property crime, its impact on state-level statistics is minimal.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been rare, with only 3 incidents reported in 2018. This translates to a rate of 0.94 per 1,000 people for that year. In all other reported years, there were zero motor vehicle thefts. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics was negligible, peaking at 0.02% in 2018 and remaining at 0.0% in other years. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the city.
Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the period from 2013 to 2020. Consequently, the arson rate per 1,000 people and the city's contribution to state arson statistics remained at 0% throughout this period. This indicates that arson is not a prevalent issue in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $66,717 in 2013 to $87,832.5 in 2020, total property crimes generally decreased, with some fluctuations. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that property crime rates in Athens will continue to decrease slightly over the next five years (up to 2029). The total number of property crimes is expected to remain below 15 incidents annually, with larceny-theft likely remaining the most common type of property crime.
In summary, Athens has experienced fluctuating but generally decreasing property crime rates from 2013 to 2020. Larceny-theft remains the primary concern, while other types of property crimes such as motor vehicle theft and arson are rare or non-existent. The city's contribution to state-level property crime statistics is minimal across all categories. The inverse relationship between rising median income and declining property crime rates suggests that continued economic growth could further reduce property crime incidents in the coming years.