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Property Crime Trends in Alamo, Georgia: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Alamo, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2018, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 32 in 2010, dropping to 18 in 2018, a decrease of 43.75%. During this same period, the population increased from 3,551 in 2010 to 3,834 in 2018, a growth of 7.97%.
Burglary rates in the city showed a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 11 burglaries, which decreased to 4 in 2018, a 63.64% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 3.10 in 2010 to 1.04 in 2018. Interestingly, despite this decrease in raw numbers, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, hovering around 0.03% throughout the period. This suggests that while the city improved its burglary situation, it maintained its relative position within the state.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, showed fluctuations over time. In 2010, there were 20 larceny-theft incidents, which decreased to 14 in 2018, a 30% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 5.63 in 2010 to 3.65 in 2018. However, the city's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained relatively stable, ranging from 0.01% to 0.04% during this period. This suggests that the city's larceny-theft trends generally aligned with state-wide patterns.
Motor vehicle theft in the city was relatively low and inconsistent. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, which dropped to 0 in 2018. The rate per 1,000 residents correspondingly fell from 0.28 in 2010 to 0 in 2018. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained minimal, never exceeding 0.02% during the observed period. This indicates that motor vehicle theft was not a significant issue for the city compared to other types of property crime.
Arson data for the city showed no reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2018. Consequently, the arson rate per 1,000 residents and the city's share of state arson cases remained at 0%. This suggests that arson was not a significant concern for the city during this time.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As population density increased from 1,812 per square mile in 2010 to 1,956 per square mile in 2018, overall property crime rates decreased. This suggests that the growth in population density did not lead to an increase in property crimes. Additionally, there appears to be an inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. For instance, in 2014 when the median income peaked at $50,272, the property crime data for that year is not available, but the following years show lower crime rates compared to earlier years with lower median incomes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, it's projected that burglary rates may stabilize around 1 per 1,000 residents, while larceny-theft rates could potentially decrease further to around 3 per 1,000 residents. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain very low or non-existent, and arson cases are predicted to stay at zero.
In summary, Alamo has shown a general improvement in its property crime situation over the observed period, with significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates. The city's share of state-wide property crimes has remained relatively stable, indicating that its improvements are keeping pace with or slightly outperforming state-wide trends. The inverse relationship between rising median income and decreasing crime rates suggests that economic improvements may be contributing to the reduction in property crimes.
