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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Perry, located in Florida, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes increased by 37.75%, from 249 to 343 incidents. This rise occurred against a backdrop of population decline, with the city's population decreasing by 12.47% from 14,499 in 2010 to 12,691 in 2020.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant fluctuations. In 2010, there were 92 burglaries, which decreased to 41 in 2016, but then sharply increased to 149 in 2020. This represents a 61.96% increase from 2010 to 2020. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people rose from 6.34 in 2010 to 11.74 in 2020, indicating a substantial increase in burglary risk for residents. Notably, the city's share of state burglaries increased dramatically, from 0.1% in 2010 to 0.52% in 2020, suggesting that burglary became a more pronounced issue in this locality compared to the rest of Florida.
Larceny theft, while fluctuating, showed a more modest overall increase. In 2010, there were 156 incidents, which decreased to 102 in 2012, but then rose to 169 in 2020, representing an 8.33% increase over the decade. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 10.76 in 2010 to 13.32 in 2020. The city's share of state larceny thefts grew from 0.06% to 0.09%, indicating a slight increase in the city's contribution to state larceny crime statistics.
Motor vehicle theft experienced a significant upward trend. From just 1 incident in 2010, it rose to 25 in 2020, a 2400% increase. The rate per 1,000 people jumped from 0.07 to 1.97. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0% to 0.11%, suggesting that this crime type became a more significant issue in the city relative to the state.
Arson cases fluctuated but showed an overall increase. From 3 incidents in 2010, it rose to 4 in 2020, a 33.33% increase. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.21 to 0.32. The city's share of state arson cases doubled from 0.26% to 0.54%, indicating that arson became a more significant issue in the city compared to the rest of Florida.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between population density and property crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,550 per square mile in 2010 to 1,356 in 2020, property crime rates increased. This suggests that the declining population may have led to reduced community surveillance and increased opportunities for property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates could increase by approximately 25-30% if current trends continue. Burglary and motor vehicle theft are likely to see the most significant increases, potentially rising by 40-50% and 60-70% respectively.
In summary, Perry has experienced a concerning rise in property crimes, particularly burglary and motor vehicle theft, despite a declining population. This trend suggests a need for targeted crime prevention strategies and community engagement initiatives to address the growing property crime issues in the city.