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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Colstrip, Montana, a small urban center with a population of 2,501 as of 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. The total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 25 in 2010 to just 1 in 2022, representing a 96% reduction. This dramatic decline occurred alongside a modest population growth of 1.67% from 2,460 in 2010 to 2,501 in 2022, suggesting a substantial improvement in public safety relative to the city's size.
Burglary trends in the city show a notable decline over time. In 2010, there was 1 reported burglary, representing 0.05% of the state's total. By 2022, burglaries had dropped to zero. The burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.41 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. This trend indicates a significant improvement in residential and commercial security within the community.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a downward trend. In 2010, there were 22 larceny-thefts, accounting for 0.19% of the state's total. By 2022, this number had dropped to just 1 incident, representing 0.01% of the state's larceny-thefts. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 8.94 in 2010 to 0.40 in 2022, signifying a substantial reduction in petty theft and similar crimes.
Motor vehicle theft showed fluctuations but an overall decreasing trend. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, representing 0.25% of the state's total. By 2022, no motor vehicle thefts were reported. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 0.81 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, indicating improved vehicle security or reduced opportunities for this type of crime.
Arson incidents were rare in the city. Only one case was reported in 2010, accounting for 1.82% of the state's total. From 2011 to 2022, no arson cases were reported, suggesting effective fire prevention measures or a lack of this specific criminal activity.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $77,251 in 2013 to $84,078 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing remained relatively stable, hovering around 80-90% throughout the period, which may have contributed to the overall reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime rates in Colstrip could potentially reach near-zero levels if the current downward trajectory continues. However, it's important to note that maintaining such low crime rates may become increasingly challenging as the absolute number of crimes approaches zero.
The most significant discovery is the dramatic 96% reduction in total property crimes from 2010 to 2022 in Colstrip. This improvement in public safety occurred despite a slight population increase, suggesting effective law enforcement strategies, community engagement, or socioeconomic factors contributing to crime reduction. The consistent decline across all categories of property crime, coupled with rising median incomes, points to a positive correlation between economic well-being and reduced criminal activity. These trends position Colstrip as a model for small urban areas in crime prevention and community safety.