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Property Crime Decline in Warwick, Georgia: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Warwick, Georgia, a small city with a population that decreased from 1,219 in 2012 to 944 in 2022, has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crime over the past decade. From 2012 to 2022, total property crimes in Warwick dropped from 14 to 2 incidents, representing an 85.7% decrease. This significant improvement occurred despite the city's 22.6% population decline during the same period.
Burglary incidents in Warwick showed a substantial decrease over time. The number of reported burglaries fell from 5 in 2012 to just 1 in 2022, marking an 80% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 4.1 in 2012 to 1.06 in 2022. Despite this significant reduction, Warwick's contribution to state burglary statistics remained relatively stable, maintaining around 0.01% to 0.02% of the state's total burglaries.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a downward trend in Warwick. Reported cases decreased from 9 in 2012 to 1 in 2022, an 88.9% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 7.38 in 2012 to 1.06 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics has been consistently low, ranging from 0% to 0.01% of the state's total. This indicates that Warwick has made significant progress in reducing larceny-theft incidents, outpacing the population decrease.
Motor vehicle theft in Warwick has been sporadic and infrequent. The highest number recorded was 2 incidents in 2014, with most years reporting zero cases. The rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 2.08 in 2014 but has since remained at zero. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics has been negligible, never exceeding 0.02% of the state's total. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the city.
Arson incidents have been consistently reported as zero throughout the period from 2012 to 2022. This indicates that arson is not a prevalent issue in Warwick, and its contribution to state arson statistics has remained at 0%.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 1,501 per square mile in 2012 to 1,162 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in property crimes. This suggests a potential correlation between population density and property crime rates. Additionally, the median income increased from $29,634 in 2013 to $44,491 in 2022, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes. This may indicate that improved economic conditions could be contributing to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decrease in overall property crime incidents. Based on the current trends, it's projected that Warwick may experience even fewer than 2 property crimes per year, potentially reaching near-zero levels for certain categories like burglary and larceny-theft. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously due to the already low number of incidents.
In summary, Warwick has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft, coupled with the consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and arson, indicate effective crime prevention strategies or changing socioeconomic conditions. The correlation between rising median income and decreasing crime rates suggests that economic development may play a role in crime reduction. As Warwick moves forward, maintaining these positive trends while addressing any emerging challenges will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
