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Property Crime Decline in Ulysses, Kansas: A Decade of Dramatic Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Ulysses, a city in Kansas, has witnessed a remarkable transformation in its property crime landscape over the past decade, set against a backdrop of gradual population decline. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in Ulysses decreased dramatically from 84 to 8, representing a 90.5% reduction. This significant drop in crime rates occurred while the city's population decreased from 7,744 to 7,336, a 5.3% decline.
Burglary rates in Ulysses have shown a substantial decrease over time. In 2010, there were 19 burglaries reported, which dropped to just 2 in 2022, marking an 89.5% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 2.45 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 0.27 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.51% in 2014 before dropping to 0.03% in 2022. This significant reduction suggests improved security measures or changes in local socioeconomic conditions.
Larceny theft in Ulysses also saw a dramatic decline. In 2010, there were 62 incidents, which reduced to 5 in 2022, representing a 91.9% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 8.01 in 2010 to 0.68 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft cases decreased from 0.12% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022. This trend indicates a substantial improvement in preventing petty theft and similar crimes within the community.
Motor vehicle theft rates in Ulysses have remained relatively low but variable. From 3 incidents in 2010 to 1 in 2022, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.39 to 0.14. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.2% in 2014 before settling at 0.02% in 2022. These low numbers suggest that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the city.
Arson cases in Ulysses have been sporadic and infrequent. The city reported no arsons in most years, with exceptions in 2011 (1 case), 2012 (2 cases), and 2020 (2 cases). The rate per 1,000 residents in years with reported cases ranged from 0.13 to 0.27. The city's contribution to state arson cases was notably high at 1.43% in 2020, despite the low absolute number, indicating that arson is rare but can have a disproportionate impact on state statistics when it occurs.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates in Ulysses. As median income increased from $60,466 in 2016 to $79,901 in 2021, property crimes decreased from 55 to 15. Additionally, the Hispanic population percentage showed a slight increase from 45% in 2013 to 49% in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. However, this correlation does not imply causation and may be influenced by other factors.
Applying predictive models based on the consistent downward trend in property crimes, it is projected that by 2029, Ulysses could see property crime rates potentially drop to near-zero levels, assuming current trends continue. However, it is important to note that crime rates typically do not reach absolute zero and may stabilize at a low baseline.
In summary, Ulysses has experienced a remarkable decline in property crime rates across all categories over the past decade, outpacing its population decline. This trend, coupled with increasing median income and shifting demographics, suggests a positive transformation in the city's safety and security landscape. The consistent reduction in crime rates, particularly in burglary and larceny theft, indicates effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement in crime prevention.
