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Property Crime Decline in Pinehurst, Idaho: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Pinehurst, Idaho, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in total property crimes, with a notable decrease from 23 incidents in 2010 to 5 in 2022, representing a 78.3% reduction. This significant drop occurred alongside a population growth from 2,565 in 2010 to 2,889 in 2022, an increase of 12.6%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a dramatic decline over the years. In 2010, there were 7 burglaries, which peaked at 18 in 2014, before plummeting to just 1 in 2022. This represents an 85.7% decrease from 2010 to 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 2.73 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0.35 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, reaching a high of 0.44% in 2014 before dropping to 0.05% in 2022. This substantial reduction suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies targeting burglaries.
Larceny-theft trends have been more variable. The number of incidents decreased from 14 in 2010 to 4 in 2022, a 71.4% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 5.46 in 2010 to 1.38 in 2022. Interestingly, the city's percentage of state larceny-thefts increased from 0.08% in 2010 to 0.04% in 2022, despite the overall decrease in incidents. This suggests that while the city improved its larceny-theft situation, the reduction was less pronounced compared to the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low, with some fluctuations. From 2 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 3 in 2014 and 2019, before dropping to 0 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.78 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts varied, reaching a high of 0.28% in 2019 before falling to 0% in 2022. This trend indicates effective measures in curbing vehicle thefts, possibly through improved security systems or targeted police efforts.
Arson incidents have been rare in the city, with only one reported case in 2014, representing 0.67% of state arsons that year. In all other reported years, arson incidents were zero. This suggests that arson is not a significant concern for the community, with effective fire prevention and investigation measures likely in place.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As the median income rose from $36,281 in 2013 to $50,061 in 2022, an increase of 38%, total property crimes decreased by 77.3% over the same period. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, we anticipate a continued decline in overall property crime rates for the next five years, reaching 2029. Based on the current trajectory, we project that by 2029, the total number of property crimes could potentially decrease to around 2-3 incidents per year, with burglaries and larceny-thefts potentially reaching near-zero levels. Motor vehicle thefts and arsons are expected to remain at or very close to zero.
In summary, Pinehurst has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglaries, larceny-thefts, and motor vehicle thefts, coupled with the virtual absence of arson, paint a picture of a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues. The inverse correlation with rising median incomes suggests that economic growth has played a role in this positive trend. As the city continues to grow and prosper, these improvements in public safety are likely to contribute to an enhanced quality of life for its residents.
