Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Petersburg, Tennessee, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 8 in 2010, peaking at 11 in 2013, and ending at 5 in 2020, representing a 37.5% decrease over this period. Interestingly, this trend occurred against a backdrop of population decline, with the city's population dropping from 3,292 in 2010 to 2,919 in 2020, a 11.3% decrease.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable downward trend. In 2010, there were 2 burglaries reported, which increased to 5 in 2013, but then steadily declined to 0 by 2020. This translates to a decrease from 0.61 burglaries per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 0 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained minimal, never exceeding 0.01% of the state total. This significant reduction in burglaries suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, demonstrated fluctuations over the years. Starting at 5 incidents in 2010, it reached a high of 8 in 2014, before returning to 5 in 2020. When adjusted for population, the rate increased from 1.52 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 1.71 per 1,000 in 2020, despite the overall number remaining the same. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft statistics ranged from 0% to 0.01%, indicating a consistently low impact on statewide figures. The persistence of larceny-theft, even as other property crimes decreased, may suggest ongoing challenges with petty theft or shoplifting.
Motor vehicle theft in the area has been sporadic and infrequent. There was 1 reported case in 2010 and 1 in 2018, with no incidents in other years. This translates to a rate that fluctuated between 0 and 0.37 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics was minimal, reaching 0.01% only in 2010 and 2018. The rarity of motor vehicle theft suggests that this is not a significant concern for the community, possibly due to the small town nature and close-knit community.
Arson cases were non-existent in the reported data for Petersburg from 2010 to 2020, with no incidents recorded. This absence of arson cases speaks to the overall safety of the community in terms of intentional property damage by fire.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 3,264 per square mile in 2010 to 2,894 in 2020, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crime rates. This suggests that the lower population density may have contributed to reduced opportunities for property crimes. Additionally, the median income rose from $43,209 in 2013 to $52,698 in 2020, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes, particularly burglaries. This could indicate that improved economic conditions may have played a role in reducing property crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (until 2029), we can anticipate a continued low level of property crimes, with potential further reductions in burglary and larceny-theft rates. The sporadic nature of motor vehicle theft is likely to persist, with occasional incidents possible but not frequent. Arson is expected to remain a non-issue for the community.
In summary, Petersburg has experienced a general decline in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglaries, while maintaining relatively stable but low levels of larceny-theft. This trend, coupled with demographic changes such as decreasing population density and increasing median income, paints a picture of a community that has become safer in terms of property crime. The forecast suggests that these positive trends are likely to continue, reinforcing Petersburg's status as a relatively safe community with respect to property crimes.