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Property Crime Decline in Panhandle: A Decade of Dramatic Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Panhandle, a small city in Texas, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates over the years, accompanied by modest population changes. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly by 96.43%, from 28 incidents to just 1. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, with a slight decrease of 1.73% from 3,823 to 3,757 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown considerable volatility. In 2010, there were 5 burglaries, which peaked at 12 in 2019, before dropping to zero in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease over the 12-year period. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.31 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics has been minimal, typically at 0% or 0.01% of the state total, with a slight increase to 0.01% in 2018 and 2019. This suggests that while burglary has been a concern at times, it has not significantly impacted the state's overall burglary statistics.
Larceny theft has shown a similar downward trend. In 2010, there were 20 incidents, which decreased to just 1 in 2022, marking a 95% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 5.23 in 2010 to 0.27 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft statistics has consistently been negligible at 0% throughout the period, indicating that these crimes have primarily been local issues without broader impact on state figures.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has fluctuated but ultimately decreased. From 3 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 0 in 2022, a 100% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.78 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics has been minimal, ranging from 0% to 0.01%, with the highest percentage (0.01%) occurring in 2010, 2012, and 2014. This suggests that motor vehicle theft has been a sporadic issue in the city without significant impact on state-level statistics.
Arson incidents have been consistently low or non-existent in the city. Throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, there were no reported cases of arson. This indicates that arson has not been a significant concern for the community, and the city has not contributed to the state's arson statistics.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $71,373 in 2013 to $76,877 in 2022, there was a general decrease in property crimes. This suggests a potential negative correlation between income levels and property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing decreased from 90% in 2013 to 84% in 2022, which coincided with the overall decrease in property crimes. This could indicate that changes in housing ownership patterns may have some influence on property crime rates, though the relationship is not straightforward.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the low crime rates observed in recent years. Based on the sharp decline in property crimes from 25 in 2019 to 1 in 2022, it's projected that the city may maintain these low levels or experience only slight fluctuations. However, it's important to note that small changes in a low baseline can result in large percentage changes.
In summary, Panhandle has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crimes from 2010 to 2022, with all categories of property crime showing substantial decreases. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained minimal throughout this period. The observed trends, coupled with demographic changes such as increasing median income and shifts in housing ownership, paint a picture of a community that has effectively managed its property crime issues. As the city moves forward, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a priority for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.
