Motor vehicle theft trends have been more variable. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 4 over the years, with 2 cases reported in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents in 2022 was 0.56, compared to 0.51 in 2010. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained relatively stable at 0.01% to 0.02% throughout the period. This suggests that while other property crimes decreased significantly, motor vehicle theft remained a persistent, albeit low-level, issue in the community.

Arson cases in Oronogo have been extremely rare, with only one reported incident in 2010 and no cases in subsequent years. This isolated incident represented 0.1% of state arson cases in 2010. The absence of arson cases since then indicates that it is not a significant concern for the community.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decrease in property crimes coincided with a period of increasing median income, rising from $69,969 in 2013 to $67,121 in 2022. This suggests that improved economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing remained high, decreasing slightly from 90% in 2013 to 89% in 2022, which could indicate a stable community environment less prone to property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decrease in overall property crimes. Based on the current trends, we can expect the total number of property crimes to potentially drop below 10 incidents per year by 2029. Burglary rates are likely to remain very low, possibly averaging less than one incident per year. Larceny theft is predicted to continue its downward trend, potentially reaching single digits annually. Motor vehicle theft is expected to remain stable at around 2-3 incidents per year.

In summary, Oronogo has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crimes over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny theft. This positive trend, occurring alongside stable economic indicators and high rates of home ownership, suggests a community that has become increasingly secure and resilient to property crimes. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates while managing population fluctuations is noteworthy and may offer valuable insights for similar-sized communities seeking to enhance public safety.