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Property Crime Decline in New Bloomfield, Missouri: A Small City's Success Story
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
New Bloomfield, Missouri, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2017, the city experienced a total of 14 property crimes, with a significant decrease over this period. The total number of property crimes dropped from 5 in 2010 to 0 in 2017, representing a 100% decrease. During the same period, the population grew from 2,173 in 2010 to 2,814 in 2017, an increase of 29.5%.
Burglary rates in the city showed a fluctuating trend. In 2010, there were 2 burglaries, representing 0.01% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 people was 0.92. By 2013, burglaries increased to 3, with a rate of 1.36 per 1,000 people, still maintaining 0.01% of the state's total. However, from 2014 to 2017, burglaries dropped to zero, indicating a significant improvement in this area. This trend suggests enhanced security measures or community policing efforts may have been effective in deterring burglaries.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a declining trend. In 2010, there were 3 cases, with a rate of 1.38 per 1,000 people. By 2012, this had decreased to 1 case, or 0.48 per 1,000 people. The last reported larceny-theft was in 2013, with 1 case (0.45 per 1,000 people). From 2014 to 2017, no larceny-theft cases were reported, indicating a positive trend in property protection or increased community vigilance.
Motor vehicle theft in New Bloomfield remained consistently at zero from 2010 to 2017. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the population growth during this period, suggesting effective prevention strategies or possibly a community culture that discourages such crimes.
Similarly, arson cases were non-existent throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2017. This consistent zero-incident rate for both motor vehicle theft and arson contributes significantly to the overall decrease in property crimes and speaks to the safety of the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be an inverse relationship between property crime rates and population growth. As the population increased from 2,173 in 2010 to 2,814 in 2017, property crimes decreased from 5 to 0. Additionally, the median income rose from $56,325 in 2013 to $78,836 in 2017, coinciding with the period of zero reported property crimes. The percentage of owner-occupied housing also increased from 72% in 2013 to 80% in 2017, potentially contributing to the reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's reasonable to forecast that property crime rates in New Bloomfield will likely remain very low or at zero for the next five years (up to 2029). The combination of increasing population, rising median income, and high owner-occupancy rates suggests a stable community environment that is less conducive to property crimes.
In summary, New Bloomfield has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics from 2010 to 2017. The complete elimination of reported property crimes by 2017, coupled with population growth and economic improvements, paints a picture of a community that has successfully addressed property crime issues. These trends, if maintained, position the city as a model for small-town crime prevention and community safety.
