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Property Crime Decline in Livingston, Alabama: A Decade of Improvement Despite Population Loss
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Livingston, located in Alabama, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly by 72.97%, from 111 to 30 incidents. This substantial reduction occurred despite fluctuations in population, which saw an overall decrease of 9.81% from 4,486 in 2010 to 4,045 in 2022.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable decline over the years. In 2010, there were 25 burglaries, which decreased to 10 in 2022, representing a 60% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 5.57 per 1,000 people in 2010 to 2.47 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this decrease in absolute numbers, the city's share of state burglaries actually decreased slightly from 0.11% in 2010 to 0.09% in 2022. This suggests that while burglary has decreased in the city, it has done so at a slightly slower rate than the state average.
Larceny-theft incidents also saw a significant decline. In 2010, there were 81 cases, which dropped to 18 in 2022, a 77.78% decrease. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 18.06 in 2010 to 4.45 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures decreased from 0.11% to 0.04% over this period, indicating that the city's improvement in this category outpaced the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has fluctuated but ultimately decreased. From 5 incidents in 2010 to 2 in 2022, there was a 60% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.11 in 2010 to 0.49 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.08% to 0.03%, suggesting a faster reduction compared to the state average.
Regarding arson, the data is limited, with most years showing no reported cases. In 2022, there were 0 reported arson cases, indicating either an absence of such incidents or potential underreporting.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $22,912 in 2013 to $30,189 in 2022, property crime incidents decreased from 98 to 30. Additionally, there's a potential correlation between the racial composition and crime rates. As the Black population percentage increased slightly from 68% in 2013 to 68% in 2022, property crime rates decreased, suggesting that racial demographics alone are not a determining factor in crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029, property crime in Livingston could potentially decrease further to around 20-25 incidents annually, assuming current trends and interventions continue.
In summary, Livingston has experienced a significant reduction in property crime across all categories from 2010 to 2022. This improvement has outpaced state averages in most categories, particularly in larceny-theft. The trends suggest a combination of effective local crime prevention strategies and possibly improving economic conditions contributing to the decline in property crime rates. These findings highlight the city's progress in enhancing public safety and community well-being over the past decade.
