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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Property crime trends in Linden, Texas, have shown a remarkable improvement over the past decade. Located in Texas, Linden experienced a significant decrease in property crime rates from 2010 to 2022, coinciding with a notable population decline. The total number of property crimes decreased by 74.36%, from 39 incidents to 10, while the city's population reduced by 24.38%, from 5,956 to 4,504 residents. This analysis explores the various aspects of property crime trends in Linden, examining burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson rates in relation to population changes and state-wide statistics.
Burglary trends in Linden demonstrate a substantial decline over the years. In 2010, there were 16 burglaries, which decreased to just 2 in 2022, representing an 87.5% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people dropped from 2.69 in 2010 to 0.44 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary statistics remained relatively low throughout this period, peaking at 0.02% in 2014 and 2016, and dropping to 0% by 2022. This significant decrease in burglaries suggests improved security measures or changes in local law enforcement strategies.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend, though less pronounced than burglaries. In 2010, there were 21 larceny-theft cases, which decreased to 7 in 2022, a 66.67% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 3.53 in 2010 to 1.55 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide larceny-theft remained consistently low, hovering around 0.01% for most years, with a slight decrease to 0% by 2022. This trend indicates a general improvement in property security or possibly changes in reporting practices.
Motor vehicle theft in Linden fluctuated over the years but showed an overall decrease. From 2 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 1 in 2022, a 50% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people remained relatively stable, changing from 0.34 in 2010 to 0.22 in 2022. The city's contribution to state-wide motor vehicle theft statistics was minimal, peaking at 0.01% in some years and dropping to 0% by 2022. This suggests that motor vehicle theft has not been a significant issue for the city compared to other property crimes.
Arson cases in Linden were rare, with only two reported incidents over the 13-year period – one in 2016 and another in 2020. The rate per 1,000 people for these years was 0.20 and 0.22, respectively. The city's contribution to state-wide arson statistics was notable in these years, reaching 0.04% in 2016 and 0.05% in 2020. The infrequency of arson cases makes it difficult to establish a clear trend, but it does not appear to be a persistent problem for the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 1,687 per square mile in 2010 to 1,275 in 2022, there was a corresponding decline in overall property crime rates. This suggests that lower population density may be associated with reduced property crime incidence. Additionally, the median income increased from $31,053 in 2013 to $46,416 in 2022, coinciding with the decline in property crime rates, indicating a possible inverse relationship between income levels and property crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the current trends, we can expect burglaries and larceny-theft to potentially decrease further, while motor vehicle theft and arson rates are likely to remain low and sporadic.
The analysis of property crime trends in Linden reveals a consistent decline across all categories over the past decade. This reduction in crime rates, coupled with demographic changes such as decreasing population density and increasing median income, paints a picture of a city experiencing positive changes in public safety. The most significant improvements were seen in burglary and larceny-theft rates, while motor vehicle theft and arson remained relatively low throughout the period. As Linden continues to evolve, maintaining these positive trends in property crime reduction will be crucial for the community's overall well-being and quality of life.