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Property Crime Decline in Lambertville, NJ: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Lambertville, located in New Jersey, has experienced notable changes in its property crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 50 to 20, representing a 60% reduction. This decline occurred alongside a population growth from 3,918 in 2010 to 4,127 in 2022, a 5.3% increase.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over the years. In 2010, there were 4 burglaries reported, which peaked at 17 in 2012, before dropping to zero in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease from 2010 to 2022. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 1.02 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.09% in 2012 before dropping to 0% in 2022. This trend suggests a significant improvement in residential and commercial security within the city.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also showed a downward trend. In 2010, there were 44 reported cases, which decreased to 20 in 2022, a 54.5% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents declined from 11.23 in 2010 to 4.85 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases remained relatively stable, hovering around 0.06-0.15% throughout the period. This decrease in larceny-theft indicates improved community vigilance and potentially more effective law enforcement strategies.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has been consistently low, with only 2 cases reported annually from 2010 to 2017. Since 2019, there have been no reported motor vehicle thefts. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 0.51 in 2010 to 0 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained minimal, never exceeding 0.08%. This elimination of motor vehicle theft suggests effective deterrence measures and possibly improved vehicle security technologies.
Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only sporadic occurrences. The highest number of arson cases was 2 in 2013, representing 0.97% of state arsons that year. Since 2016, there have been no reported arson cases. This indicates a very low risk of intentional property damage by fire in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As the median income rose from $107,511 in 2013 to $112,798 in 2022, property crimes decreased from 48 to 20. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 52% in 2019 to 70% in 2022, coinciding with a further reduction in property crimes from 26 to 20 during the same period. This suggests that higher income levels and increased home ownership may contribute to lower property crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Lambertville could potentially see a further reduction in overall property crimes to around 10-15 incidents annually. Larceny-theft is likely to remain the primary form of property crime, while burglaries and motor vehicle thefts may continue to be rare or non-existent.
In conclusion, Lambertville has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime statistics over the past decade. The significant reductions across all categories of property crime, coupled with population growth and economic improvements, paint a picture of a community that has become increasingly safe and secure. These trends, if maintained, position Lambertville as a model for effective crime reduction strategies in small urban areas.
