Motor vehicle theft showed more volatility but ultimately decreased. From 3 incidents in 2010, it peaked at 13 in 2014 before dropping to zero in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a high of 1.91 in 2014 and falling to zero by 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts varied widely, from 0.01% to a notable 0.06% in 2014, before returning to 0% in 2022.

Arson incidents were consistently reported as zero throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022, indicating either an absence of such crimes or potential underreporting.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 1,525 per square mile in 2010 to 2,108 in 2022, property crime rates declined. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between rising median income and decreasing property crime. The median income grew from $55,459 in 2013 to $62,439 in 2022, coinciding with the drop in property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can expect the downward trend to continue, albeit at a slower rate. Based on the current trajectory, total property crimes could potentially decrease to around 10-12 incidents per year by 2029, assuming consistent population growth and economic conditions.

In summary, Lake Helen has experienced a remarkable reduction in property crime rates across all categories, despite significant population growth. This trend, coupled with rising median incomes and increasing population density, suggests a positive trajectory for the city's safety and economic development. The consistent decline in crime rates, particularly in burglary and larceny theft, indicates effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for sustaining the quality of life for its residents.