Motor vehicle theft data shows an interesting pattern. Throughout the reported years, the city consistently reported zero motor vehicle thefts. This unusual statistic suggests either an extremely effective prevention strategy or potential underreporting. The consistent 0.0% contribution to state motor vehicle thefts further supports this observation.

Arson cases in the city have been sporadic and low in number. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, representing 0.17% of state arsons. The number fluctuated slightly, with 3 cases (0.59% of state total) in 2011, then back to 1 case (0.20%) in 2013, before dropping to zero reported cases from 2014 to 2022. This translates to a reduction from 0.10 arsons per 1,000 people in 2010 to 0 in 2022.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The decline in property crimes coincides with a slight increase in the percentage of owner-occupied housing, which rose from 65% in 2013 to 67% in 2021 before settling at 65% in 2022. This suggests a potential link between property ownership and reduced crime rates. Additionally, the median income in the city increased from $42,700 in 2013 to $50,946 in 2022, a 19.31% rise, which may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.

The racial composition of the city also shifted during this period, with the white population decreasing from 89% in 2013 to 81% in 2022, while the Black population increased from 4% to 8%, and the Hispanic population from 0% to 5%. This diversification occurred alongside the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting that increased diversity did not negatively impact crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued decline, albeit at a slower rate. Based on the current trends, total property crimes could potentially decrease to around 20-25 incidents per year by 2029, with burglaries potentially dropping to 2-3 cases annually, and larceny-theft to around 18-20 cases.

In summary, Jeannette has experienced a significant reduction in property crimes over the past decade, outpacing both its population decline and state averages in several categories. This improvement correlates with increases in median income and homeownership rates, as well as demographic diversification. The city's success in maintaining zero motor vehicle thefts and nearly eliminating arson cases is particularly noteworthy. As the city continues to evolve, maintaining these positive trends will be crucial for its overall safety and quality of life.