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Property Crime Decline in Hillsboro Beach: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hillsboro Beach, located in Florida, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced a significant decrease in total property crimes, dropping from 38 incidents in 2010 to 12 in 2022, representing a 68.4% reduction. This decline occurred alongside a population increase from 1,706 in 2010 to 2,225 in 2022, marking a 30.4% growth in residents.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a notable decline over the years. In 2010, there were 6 burglaries reported, which decreased to 2 incidents in 2022, representing a 66.7% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 3.52 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 0.90 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary figures remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.01% and 0.02% of the state total, with the highest percentage (0.02%) recorded in 2022. This trend suggests improved home security measures or increased community vigilance.
Larceny-theft incidents also demonstrated a downward trend. The number of cases dropped from 31 in 2010 to 9 in 2022, a 71% decrease. Adjusted for population, the rate declined from 18.17 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 4.04 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state larceny-theft incidents remained consistently low, at 0.01% for most years, dropping to 0% in some years. This significant reduction in larceny-theft could indicate enhanced local law enforcement efforts or improved community awareness.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low and stable. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 5 annually, with 1 case reported in both 2010 and 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 0.59 in 2010 to 0.45 in 2022. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft figures has been minimal, typically at 0% or 0.01%, with a peak of 0.02% in 2011. This low and stable rate suggests effective vehicle security measures or limited opportunities for such crimes in the area.
Arson cases in Hillsboro Beach have been consistently reported as zero from 2010 to 2022, indicating either an absence of such incidents or potentially unreported cases. This consistent zero-rate stands out positively for the city's safety profile.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and population density. As the population density increased from 4,664 per square mile in 2010 to 6,084 in 2022, total property crimes decreased from 38 to 12. Additionally, there's a notable correlation between rising median income and decreasing property crime. The median income grew from $61,227 in 2013 to $71,390 in 2022, coinciding with the overall reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on current trends, we project that by 2029, the total number of property crimes could potentially drop to single digits annually, possibly around 5-8 incidents per year. This forecast assumes continued population growth and economic stability in the area.
In summary, Hillsboro Beach has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft, coupled with consistently low rates of motor vehicle theft and absence of arson, paint a picture of an increasingly safe community. These trends, occurring alongside population growth and rising median incomes, suggest a positive correlation between economic prosperity and reduced crime rates. As the city continues to grow and develop, maintaining these low crime rates will likely be a key focus for local authorities and residents alike.
