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Property Crime Decline in Hialeah: A Decade of Progress
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hialeah, located in Florida, is a densely populated urban area known for its vibrant Cuban-American community. Over the past decade, the city has experienced notable changes in its property crime landscape. From 2010 to 2020, total property crimes in Hialeah decreased significantly by 51%, dropping from 7,858 to 3,851 incidents. This substantial reduction occurred despite a modest population growth of 0.64% during the same period, with the population increasing from 225,461 to 226,920.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a remarkable downward trend. In 2010, there were 1,098 burglary incidents, which decreased to 301 by 2020, representing a 72.6% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 4.87 in 2010 to 1.33 in 2020, a 72.7% decrease. Interestingly, Hialeah's share of state burglaries fluctuated over the years, starting at 1.21% in 2010, peaking at 1.26% in 2012, and settling at 1.04% in 2020. This suggests that while burglaries decreased citywide, the reduction was somewhat in line with statewide trends.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also experienced a significant decline. In 2010, there were 5,693 larceny-theft incidents, which dropped to 3,011 by 2020, a 47.1% decrease. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 25.25 in 2010 to 13.27 in 2020, a 47.4% reduction. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases decreased from 2.16% in 2010 to 1.69% in 2020, indicating that the city's improvement in this category outpaced the state average.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a similar downward trend. In 2010, there were 1,067 motor vehicle thefts, which decreased to 539 by 2020, representing a 49.5% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 4.73 in 2010 to 2.38 in 2020, a 49.7% decrease. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased less dramatically, from 4.48% in 2010 to 2.36% in 2020, suggesting that while improvements were made, they were not as pronounced compared to other areas of the state.
Arson incidents in the city fluctuated over the decade but showed an overall decrease. In 2010, there were 14 arson cases, which decreased to 10 by 2020, a 28.6% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 0.062 in 2010 to 0.044 in 2020, a 29% decrease. Interestingly, the city's share of state arson cases increased from 1.19% in 2010 to 1.35% in 2020, indicating that arson reduction in the city did not keep pace with statewide improvements.
A strong correlation was observed between the decrease in property crimes and the increase in median income. As the median income rose from $27,371 in 2013 to $43,699 in 2020, a 59.7% increase, property crimes declined by 41.2% during the same period. This suggests that improving economic conditions may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029 (five years from now), Hialeah could see a further reduction in property crimes by approximately 25-30% compared to 2020 levels, assuming current socioeconomic trends continue.
In conclusion, Hialeah has made significant strides in reducing property crimes over the past decade, with improvements across all categories. The most notable reductions were seen in burglary and larceny-theft, while motor vehicle theft and arson also showed positive trends. These improvements, coupled with rising median incomes, suggest a positive trajectory for the city's safety and economic well-being in the coming years.
