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Property Crime Decline in Eudora, Kansas: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Eudora, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes in the city decreased significantly by 80.4%, dropping from 143 to 28 incidents. This substantial reduction occurred against a backdrop of modest population growth, with the city's population increasing by 7.4% from 6,989 in 2010 to 7,506 in 2022.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a remarkable decline over the years. In 2010, there were 20 reported burglaries, which dropped to just 5 in 2022, representing a 75% decrease. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate fell from 2.86 per 1,000 residents in 2010 to 0.67 per 1,000 in 2022. Interestingly, despite this significant reduction in absolute numbers, the city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.06% and 0.26% over the period. This suggests that while the city has made progress in reducing burglaries, similar trends may be occurring statewide.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, also experienced a substantial decrease. From 116 incidents in 2010, the number dropped to 22 in 2022, marking an 81% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 16.6 in 2010 to 2.93 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft figures decreased from 0.22% in 2010 to 0.06% in 2022, indicating that the city's improvement in this area outpaced the state average.
Motor vehicle theft trends have been more volatile but ultimately show a decrease. From 7 incidents in 2010, the number fluctuated over the years, reaching a low of 1 in 2022. This represents an 85.7% decrease over the period. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 1.00 in 2010 to 0.13 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts varied considerably, from a high of 0.2% in 2020 to a low of 0.02% in 2022, suggesting that local factors may have a significant impact on this crime category.
Arson cases in the city have been sporadic and relatively rare. The data shows only three years with reported arson incidents: 1 case in 2010 and 2 cases in 2012. Since 2013, there have been no reported arson cases. This makes it difficult to establish a clear trend, but it does indicate that arson is not a persistent problem in the city.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a strong inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $67,895 in 2013 to $78,750 in 2022, property crime rates declined significantly. Additionally, there seems to be a positive correlation between home ownership rates and reduced property crime. The percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 65% in 2013 to 74% in 2022, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's reasonable to forecast that property crime rates in Eudora will continue to decline over the next five years, potentially reaching a new low by 2029. If current trends persist, we might expect to see total property crimes drop below 20 incidents per year, with burglaries potentially falling to 2-3 cases annually, larceny thefts to around 15 cases, and motor vehicle thefts becoming rare occurrences.
In summary, Eudora has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade. The significant reductions in burglary, larceny theft, and motor vehicle theft, coupled with the virtual elimination of arson cases, paint a picture of a community that has become increasingly safe and secure. These positive trends, correlating with rising incomes and home ownership rates, suggest that Eudora's economic development and community engagement strategies may be contributing factors to its improved safety profile.
