Motor vehicle theft in the city has seen slight fluctuations but remains low. From zero incidents in 2010, it rose to 2 in 2022. Despite this small increase, the rate per 1,000 residents remains low at 0.24 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0% to 0.01%, suggesting that while incidents have risen locally, they remain a small fraction of the state total.

Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only one reported incident in 2010 and none since then. This singular case represented 0.13% of state arsons in 2010, but the lack of subsequent incidents indicates a positive trend in fire safety or reporting practices.

Examining correlations between property crime and demographic factors reveals interesting patterns. The city's consistently high median income, ranging from $140,500 in 2013 to $163,269 in 2022, correlates with low crime rates, suggesting economic stability may contribute to lower property crime. Additionally, the high percentage of owner-occupied housing, consistently above 79% throughout the period, may contribute to community stability and lower crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends suggests a potential continuation of the overall downward trend. By 2029, five years from now, total property crimes could potentially decrease further to around 20 incidents annually, assuming current socioeconomic conditions and crime prevention strategies remain consistent.

In summary, Belle Meade has demonstrated a commendable reduction in property crimes over the past decade, despite population growth. The city's high median income, stable owner-occupancy rates, and potentially effective local policies have likely contributed to this positive trend. As the community continues to evolve, maintaining these favorable conditions and adapting crime prevention strategies will be crucial in sustaining and potentially improving upon these encouraging property crime statistics.