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Population Dynamics in Estate Groves and Valencia Estates, Mesa, Arizona: 2010-2022
CATEGORY
Demographics
DATA
Population
Population Density
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Demographics
Population
Population Density
Estate Groves and Valencia Estates, a neighborhood in Mesa, Arizona, experienced significant population changes from 2010 to 2022. The population increased from 1,583 in 2010 to 1,801 in 2013, then decreased to 906 by 2022. This represents a reduction of nearly 50% from its peak.
Population density followed a similar trend, peaking at 1,764.05 people per square mile in 2013 and declining to 887.41 people per square mile by 2022. This density suggests a suburban rural character.
Based on the 2022 population and the national average household size of 2.61 persons, the estimated number of housing units in the neighborhood is approximately 347. This low number, combined with the decreasing population, may indicate demographic or housing market shifts.
The substantial population decline since 2013, particularly between 2020 and 2022, could be attributed to various factors including economic conditions, changes in local employment opportunities, or the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on housing preferences.
Estate Groves and Valencia Estates is known for its mature citrus groves, contributing to its semi-rural character. This agricultural heritage likely influences the lifestyle of residents, potentially attracting those who value a connection to the land while remaining within reach of urban amenities in the greater Mesa area.
The neighborhood's evolution from growth to population decline raises questions about its future development trajectory. Monitoring future trends will be important to understand whether this represents a temporary fluctuation or a longer-term shift in the neighborhood's character and appeal.
