Motor vehicle theft in the city showed a slight decrease over the years. In 2010, there were 1,231 motor vehicle thefts, which decreased to 979 in 2022, representing a 20.47% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 8.25 in 2010 to 6.70 in 2022. However, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.96% to 0.64%, indicating that the city's improvement in this area was more significant compared to the state average.

Arson incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years, with no clear long-term trend. In 2010, there were 16 arson cases, which remained relatively stable at 15 cases in 2020. However, data for 2022 was not available. The city's share of state arson cases varied significantly, from 0.26% in 2010 to a peak of 0.64% in 2015, before dropping to 0.15% in 2020. This volatility suggests that arson incidents may be influenced by specific local factors or events rather than following a consistent trend.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate negative correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $51,379 in 2013 to $77,609 in 2022, there was a general trend of decreasing property crime rates, particularly in burglary and motor vehicle theft. This suggests that improving economic conditions may contribute to reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of current trends. Burglary rates are expected to continue their gradual decline, potentially reaching around 700 incidents per year. Larceny theft may stabilize or show a slight increase, possibly reaching 2,700-2,800 incidents annually. Motor vehicle theft is projected to remain relatively stable, fluctuating around 950-1,000 incidents per year. However, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously, as unforeseen factors can significantly influence crime rates.

In conclusion, Pomona has shown mixed results in its battle against property crime over the past decade. While burglary and motor vehicle theft rates have improved, larceny theft remains a growing concern. The city's changing economic landscape, as indicated by rising median incomes, appears to have a positive influence on reducing certain types of property crimes. Moving forward, targeted strategies to address larceny theft, coupled with continued economic development, may be key to further improving the overall property crime situation in Pomona.