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Pilot Knob, Missouri: A Case Study in Consistently Low Violent Crime Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Pilot Knob, located in Missouri, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2011 to 2022, the city experienced minimal fluctuations in violent crime incidents, with a total of 5 reported cases across the entire timeframe. Notably, the population grew from 1,107 in 2011 to 1,386 in 2022, representing a 25.2% increase.
Regarding murder trends, Pilot Knob maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2011 to 2022. This stability in the absence of homicides is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city contributed 0% to the state's total murders each year. This consistent lack of murders suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of lethal violence.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city were non-existent from 2011 to 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people stayed at 0, and the city's contribution to state rape statistics remained at 0% throughout the period. This absence of reported rapes, despite population growth, indicates a positive trend in sexual violence prevention or reporting.
Robbery trends in Pilot Knob mirrored those of murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2011 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was consistently 0, and the city's share of state robberies remained at 0%. This trend suggests effective crime prevention strategies or a lack of targets for robbery within the city.
Aggravated assault was the only category of violent crime that showed any activity in Pilot Knob. The city reported 1 case of aggravated assault in 2013, 2014, 2015, 2018, and 2019. In the years 2011, 2012, 2016, 2017, 2020, and 2022, no aggravated assaults were reported. The assault rate per 1,000 people fluctuated slightly, reaching a maximum of 1.05 per 1,000 in 2014 when the population was at its lowest (951). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics ranged from 0% to 0.01% in years with reported incidents.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and aggravated assault occurrences. Years with higher population density (such as 2021 and 2022 with 1,567 and 1,550 people per square mile, respectively) saw no reported assaults, while years with lower density (like 2014 with 1,063 people per square mile) experienced one assault. However, this correlation is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Racial demographics show a slight decrease in the white population percentage from 95% in 2013 to 87% in 2022, with a corresponding increase in diversity. However, there is no clear correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the historical data, it's reasonable to forecast that Pilot Knob will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years (up to 2029). The city may continue to experience sporadic aggravated assault incidents, potentially averaging 0-1 cases per year, while other violent crime categories are expected to remain at or near zero.
In summary, Pilot Knob demonstrates a remarkably stable and low violent crime environment. Despite population growth, the city has maintained minimal violent crime occurrences, with aggravated assault being the only category showing any activity. This trend suggests effective local law enforcement and community safety measures. As the city continues to grow and diversify, maintaining these low crime rates will be crucial for the community's well-being and attractiveness to potential residents and businesses.
