Robbery trends show a decrease over time. In 2010, there were 97 robberies, which dropped to 79 in 2022, an 18.56% decrease. The robbery rate per 1,000 people fell from 1.521 in 2010 to 1.261 in 2022, a 17.09% decrease. However, the city's percentage of state robberies remained stable, moving from 0.19% in 2010 to 0.19% in 2022, suggesting that the local decrease aligns with state-wide trends.

Aggravated assault incidents have increased. In 2010, there were 133 aggravated assaults, rising to 188 in 2022, a 41.35% increase. The rate per 1,000 people grew from 2.085 in 2010 to 3.001 in 2022, a 43.93% rise. The city's share of state aggravated assaults remained relatively stable, moving from 0.18% in 2010 to 0.18% in 2022, indicating that the local increase is consistent with state-wide trends.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between the Hispanic population and violent crime rates. As the Hispanic population remained consistently high at around 90% throughout the period, violent crime rates fluctuated but generally increased. This could suggest that other socioeconomic factors specific to this demographic might be influencing crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, if current patterns continue, we can expect the total number of violent crimes to reach approximately 340 by 2029. This projection suggests a continued upward trend in violent crime over the next five years.

In summary, Pico Rivera has seen an overall increase in violent crimes, particularly in murders, rapes, and aggravated assaults, while experiencing a decrease in robberies. The city's crime rates, when compared to state percentages, have remained relatively stable, indicating that these trends are largely consistent with broader regional patterns. The persistent high percentage of Hispanic residents correlates with the crime trends, suggesting that targeted socioeconomic interventions might be beneficial in addressing the root causes of crime in the community.