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Pembroke Park's Property Crime Decline: A Decade of Improvement in a Growing Florida Town
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Pembroke Park, located in Florida, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 361 to 195, representing a 46% reduction. This decline occurred alongside a population growth from 6,280 in 2010 to 6,870 in 2020, an increase of about 9.4%.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a substantial decline over the years. In 2010, there were 74 burglaries, which peaked at 151 in 2013 before dropping to just 22 in 2020. This represents a 70.3% decrease from 2010 to 2020. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 11.8 in 2010 to 3.2 in 2020. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, starting at 0.08% in 2010, peaking at 0.2% in 2013, and settling at 0.08% in 2020. This trend suggests improved home security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies targeting burglaries.
Larceny-theft, the most common property crime in the city, also showed a downward trend. The number of incidents decreased from 241 in 2010 to 131 in 2020, a 45.6% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 38.4 in 2010 to 19.1 in 2020. The city's proportion of state larceny-thefts remained relatively stable, ranging between 0.07% and 0.12% throughout the decade. This consistent decline in larceny-theft rates indicates a general improvement in community safety and property protection.
Motor vehicle theft trends were more volatile. The number of incidents fluctuated, with 46 cases in 2010, peaking at 62 in 2011, and ending at 42 in 2020. Despite the overall decrease, the rate per 1,000 residents only marginally changed from 7.3 in 2010 to 6.1 in 2020. Interestingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.19% in 2010 to 0.18% in 2020, with significant fluctuations in between, reaching as low as 0.06% in 2017. This suggests that while motor vehicle theft remains a concern, the city has managed to keep it relatively stable despite population growth.
Arson cases in the city were sporadic and low in number. The highest recorded incidents were 3 cases in 2017, with several years reporting no arsons. The city's share of state arsons varied widely, from 0% in some years to a high of 0.38% in 2017. Given the low frequency, it's challenging to establish a clear trend, but the data suggests that arson is not a significant ongoing concern for the community.
A notable correlation exists between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 4,397 per square mile in 2010 to 4,810 per square mile in 2020, overall property crime rates decreased. This inverse relationship suggests that increased urbanization or community presence may have contributed to crime deterrence.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in Pembroke Park may continue to decline, albeit at a slower rate. The total number of property crimes could potentially drop to around 150-160 incidents annually, with larceny-theft likely remaining the most common offense but potentially falling below 100 cases per year.
In summary, Pembroke Park has experienced a significant overall reduction in property crime rates over the past decade, despite population growth. This trend, particularly notable in burglary and larceny-theft reductions, reflects positively on the community's evolving safety profile. The city's ability to maintain relatively stable or decreasing crime rates in the face of population growth suggests effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement in crime prevention.
