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Parrish, Alabama: Stable Violent Crime Trends Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Parrish, Alabama, a small community with a population of 2,723 in 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the years. The total number of violent crimes in the city has varied significantly, from a low of 2 incidents in 2011 to a high of 11 in 2018, before settling at 5 in 2022. This represents a 150% increase in violent crimes from 2011 to 2022. During the same period, the population grew by 14.2%, from 2,384 in 2011 to 2,723 in 2022.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents throughout the reported years (2010-2022). This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this period.
Rape incidents in Parrish have been sporadic. The data shows no reported rapes for most years, with the exception of 2018 when 3 cases were reported. This spike in 2018 resulted in a rate of 1 rape per 1,000 people and represented 0.28% of the state's total rape cases for that year. The inconsistency in rape statistics makes it challenging to establish a clear trend, but it's important to note that in most years, including the most recent data from 2022, no rapes were reported.
Robbery trends in the city show an increase over time. In earlier years (2010-2017), no robberies were reported. However, in 2018, there were 3 robbery cases, and in 2022, 2 cases were reported. This represents an increase from 0 to 0.73 robberies per 1,000 people between 2017 and 2022. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics also increased, from 0% in earlier years to 0.15% in 2022. This trend suggests a growing concern regarding robbery in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most consistently reported violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated from 5 in 2010 to 2 in 2011, back to 5 in 2017 and 2018, then to 3 in 2021 and 2022. The rate per 1,000 people has decreased slightly from 2.13 in 2010 to 1.10 in 2022, indicating a relative improvement when considering population growth. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases has remained relatively low, ranging from 0.02% to 0.08% over the years.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,138 per square mile in 2011 to 1,300 in 2022, there was a corresponding increase in overall violent crime incidents. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. The percentage of Black residents increased from 8% in 2013 to 18% in 2022, coinciding with fluctuations in violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Parrish may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 6-7 incidents annually. This prediction assumes the continuation of current trends in population growth and demographic shifts.
In summary, Parrish has experienced varying trends across different categories of violent crime. While murder rates have remained at zero, there have been increases in robbery and fluctuations in aggravated assault. The city's changing demographics and increasing population density appear to correlate with these crime trends. As Parrish continues to grow and evolve, monitoring these trends will be crucial for maintaining community safety and allocating law enforcement resources effectively.
