Motor vehicle theft remained relatively stable at low levels. There was 1 case reported in 2012, 2013, 2015, and 2016, with no cases in 2014. Despite the consistency in numbers, the rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly due to population growth, from 0.42 in 2012 to 0.34 in 2016. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained low, ranging between 0.02% and 0.03% during this period.

Arson cases were consistently reported as zero throughout the observed period, indicating either an absence of such crimes or potential underreporting.

A strong correlation appears to exist between the decline in property crimes and the increase in home ownership rates. The percentage of owner-occupied homes rose from 83% in 2015 to 86% in 2016, coinciding with the lowest reported property crime figures. This suggests that increased home ownership may contribute to community stability and reduced property crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2025, Pangburn could see its property crime rate continue to decrease, potentially reaching as low as 5 total incidents per year. This forecast assumes that the factors contributing to the crime reduction, such as increased home ownership and community engagement, remain consistent or improve.

In summary, Pangburn has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in property crime statistics from 2012 to 2016. The significant reductions in burglary and larceny-theft, coupled with stable low rates of motor vehicle theft and absence of arson, paint a picture of a community that has effectively addressed property crime issues. The correlation with increased home ownership suggests that community investment may play a crucial role in maintaining public safety. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will be key to ensuring a safe and thriving community for its residents.