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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Paddock Hills, a diverse neighborhood in Cincinnati, Ohio, has experienced notable changes in its housing market over the past decade. This analysis examines the interplay between homeownership rates, property values, and economic factors from 2013 to 2024. Homeownership rates in Paddock Hills have remained relatively stable, averaging around 45% between 2013 and 2022. In 2013, the rate stood at 44% with an average home price of $134,235. As property values increased, reaching $268,979 in 2022, homeownership rates saw minor fluctuations, peaking at 48% in 2016 when the average home price was $163,055. This trend suggests that rising home values did not significantly impact homeownership, though they may have influenced some residents' ability to enter the market.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in Paddock Hills. When interest rates hit historic lows of 0.08% in 2021, the neighborhood experienced a slight increase in homeownership to 46%, up from 44% in 2020. This aligns with the general trend of lower interest rates encouraging homeownership due to more affordable financing options. However, as interest rates rose to 1.68% in 2022, the homeownership rate returned to 44%, indicating a potential correlation between higher borrowing costs and reduced home buying activity.
Renter percentages in Paddock Hills have inversely mirrored homeownership rates, ranging from 52% to 56% between 2013 and 2022. Average rent prices have shown an overall upward trend during this period, starting at $711 in 2013 and reaching $745 in 2022, with some fluctuations in between. The highest average rent of $841 was recorded in 2021, coinciding with a slight dip in the renter percentage to 54%. This suggests that as rent prices peaked, some renters may have considered homeownership options, especially given the low interest rates at the time.
In 2023 and 2024, Paddock Hills continued to see growth in average home prices, reaching $276,049 in 2023 and further increasing to $285,616 in 2024. This upward trajectory occurred despite a significant rise in federal interest rates, which stood at 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates may impact affordability for potential homebuyers, potentially affecting future homeownership rates in the neighborhood.
Predictive models suggest that average home prices in Paddock Hills may continue to rise over the next five years, albeit at a potentially slower pace due to higher interest rates. Average rent prices are also expected to increase moderately, reflecting ongoing demand for rental properties in the area. However, the rate of increase for both home prices and rents may be tempered by broader economic factors and local market conditions.
In conclusion, Paddock Hills has demonstrated resilience in its housing market, maintaining a relatively stable balance between homeowners and renters despite significant changes in property values and economic conditions. The neighborhood's ability to sustain rising home prices while keeping homeownership rates around 45% suggests a strong local economy and desirable living conditions. As the community moves forward, the interplay between interest rates, property values, and housing affordability will continue to shape the landscape of homeownership and rental markets in Paddock Hills.