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Old Monroe, Missouri: A Decade of Negligible Violent Crime Amidst Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Old Monroe, located in Missouri, is a small community with a population that has fluctuated over the years. The city's violent crime trends present an interesting case study, with notable changes in both crime rates and population over the observed period from 2011 to 2020.
The total number of violent crimes in Old Monroe has shown a significant decrease over the years. In 2011, there was one reported violent crime, specifically an aggravated assault. From 2012 to 2020, the city reported zero violent crimes across all categories. This represents a 100% decrease in violent crime over the decade. During this same period, the population grew from 1,268 in 2011 to 1,396.5 in 2020, an increase of approximately 10.1%.
Regarding murder trends, Old Monroe has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the entire period from 2011 to 2020. This statistic remains unchanged despite the population growth, resulting in a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people for the entire decade. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consistently been 0% throughout this period.
Similarly, rape incidents in the city have remained at zero from 2011 to 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 people has stayed at 0, and the city's percentage of state rape crimes has been 0% throughout the observed years.
Robbery trends in Old Monroe follow the same pattern as murder and rape. There were no reported robberies from 2011 to 2020, maintaining a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's robbery crimes.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that showed any activity in the observed period. In 2011, there was one reported case of aggravated assault, which corresponded to a rate of approximately 0.79 per 1,000 people. This single incident represented 0.01% of the state's aggravated assaults for that year. From 2012 to 2020, no aggravated assaults were reported, bringing the rate back to 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state crimes in this category.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, the most notable observation is the relationship with population density. As the population density increased from 3,503 people per square mile in 2011 to 3,858 in 2020, the violent crime rate actually decreased from 0.79 per 1,000 people to 0. This suggests that increased population density has not led to an increase in violent crime in Old Monroe.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the consistently low crime rates. Given the zero violent crime reports from 2012 to 2020, it's reasonable to predict that this trend will likely continue. However, as the population is projected to grow, there's a slight possibility of isolated incidents occurring. The forecast suggests a continued low crime rate, with potentially 0-1 violent crimes per year through 2029, maintaining a rate close to 0 per 1,000 residents.
In summary, Old Monroe has demonstrated an exceptionally low violent crime rate over the past decade, with only one reported incident in 2011 and none thereafter. This trend has persisted despite population growth and increased density, suggesting effective law enforcement and community cohesion. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained negligible across all violent crime categories. If these trends continue, Old Monroe is likely to maintain its status as a very safe community with minimal violent crime in the coming years.
