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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Northern Hills, a neighborhood in Dayton, Ohio, has experienced significant changes in its real estate market and demographics over the past decade. This analysis focuses on the trends in homeownership rates, property values, and rental market dynamics from 2013 to 2024, with projections extending to 2029. Homeownership rates in Northern Hills have shown a notable increase, rising from 66% in 2013 to 73% in 2022. This upward trend coincided with a substantial rise in average home prices. In 2016, the average home price was $40,606, but by 2022, it had more than doubled to $97,469, representing a 140% increase over six years. The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in Northern Hills follows a typical pattern. From 2013 to 2020, interest rates remained relatively low, ranging from 0.09% to 2.16%. During this period, homeownership rates increased from 66% to 72%, aligning with the general trend of lower interest rates encouraging homeownership due to more affordable financing options.
The rental market in Northern Hills has also undergone changes. The percentage of renters decreased from 34% in 2013 to 27% in 2022. Despite this decline in the renter population, average rent prices have increased. In 2013, the average rent was $715 per month, rising to $970 by 2022, a 35.7% increase over nine years. This suggests a tightening rental market and increased demand for available rental units. Recent data shows that the average home price in Northern Hills reached $97,881 in 2023 and further increased to $104,359 in 2024, representing a 6.6% year-over-year increase. Concurrently, federal interest rates rose to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, potentially impacting homebuying decisions in the neighborhood. Predictive models for the next five years suggest that average home prices in Northern Hills will continue to rise, albeit at a more moderate pace. By 2029, average home prices could reach approximately $130,000 to $140,000, assuming a consistent annual growth rate of 4-6%. Rent prices are projected to increase steadily, potentially reaching an average of $1,200 to $1,300 per month by 2029, based on historical trends and local market conditions. In conclusion, Northern Hills has experienced a significant increase in homeownership rates and average home prices over the past decade. The neighborhood has shifted towards more owner-occupied properties, with a corresponding decrease in the renter population. Both home prices and rent costs have risen substantially, indicating strong demand for housing in the area. As interest rates have increased in recent years, it will be important to monitor how this affects future homeownership trends and property values in Northern Hills.