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Newville, Alabama: Unique Property Crime Trends in a Small Town
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Newville, Alabama, is a small community with a population of 1,528 as of 2022. The town's property crime trends reveal an interesting pattern over the years, with a total of 5 property crimes reported in 2010. This figure remained unchanged throughout the period for which data is available. Interestingly, the population fluctuated over the same period, starting at 1,607 in 2010 and ending at 1,528 in 2022, representing a slight overall decrease of 4.9%.
The burglary rate in the city remained constant at 5 incidents per year from 2010 onwards. When considering the population trends, this translates to approximately 3.11 burglaries per 1,000 people in 2010, increasing slightly to 3.27 per 1,000 people in 2022 due to the population decrease. The city's contribution to state-wide burglary statistics stood at 0.02% throughout the period. This consistent rate suggests that while the overall number of burglaries remained stable, the risk per capita increased marginally due to population decline.
Regarding larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson, the data shows zero incidents reported for all years where information is available. This absence of reported crimes in these categories is noteworthy for a town of this size and could indicate either very effective crime prevention measures or potential underreporting.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other demographic factors, a notable relationship emerges with the median income. As the median income increased from $38,074 in 2013 to $50,238 in 2022, a rise of about 32%, the burglary rate remained constant. This suggests that the improving economic conditions did not significantly impact the burglary rate. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing units increased from 76% in 2013 to 91% in 2022, which could potentially contribute to the stable burglary rates, as homeowners might be more invested in community safety.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited variability in the historical data. However, if current trends persist, we might expect the burglary rate to remain at around 5 incidents per year. The per capita rate might slightly increase if the population continues its gradual decline.
In summary, Newville presents a unique case of stable property crime rates, particularly in burglaries, despite fluctuations in population and significant increases in median income and home ownership. The absence of reported larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson incidents over the years is particularly noteworthy and may warrant further investigation to ensure accurate reporting and effective crime prevention strategies.
