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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
New Horizons, a vibrant neighborhood in Chandler, Arizona, has experienced significant changes in homeownership rates and property values over the past decade. This predominantly owner-occupied community has maintained homeownership rates above 80% since 2013, with average home prices showing a strong upward trend. The relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices in New Horizons reveals an interesting pattern. From 2013 to 2022, the percentage of owner-occupied homes increased from 85% to 91%, coinciding with a significant rise in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $244,914, which more than doubled to $595,717 by 2022. This trend suggests that as property values increased, more residents chose to invest in homeownership, possibly viewing it as a profitable long-term investment.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in New Horizons. The period from 2013 to 2016 saw historically low interest rates, ranging from 0.11% to 0.40%. During this time, homeownership rates remained stable at around 84-85%. As interest rates began to rise from 2017 onwards, reaching 1.68% in 2022, homeownership rates actually increased to 91%. This counter-intuitive trend might be attributed to residents rushing to purchase homes before rates climbed further, anticipating potential future increases in both interest rates and home prices.
The renter population in New Horizons has fluctuated inversely to homeownership rates. In 2013, 15% of the population were renters, with average rent at $1,216. By 2017, the renter percentage dropped to 9%, while average rent peaked at $1,750. Interestingly, as the renter population decreased, average rent prices generally increased. This could be due to a limited supply of rental properties in a predominantly owner-occupied neighborhood, driving up rental costs. The population growth from 673 in 2013 to 776 in 2022 may have also contributed to increased demand for the limited rental inventory.
In 2023 and 2024, New Horizons experienced a slight correction in the housing market. The average home price decreased from $595,717 in 2022 to $573,453 in 2023, before rebounding slightly to $587,464 in 2024. This aligns with the significant increase in federal interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher rates likely cooled the housing market, making mortgages more expensive and potentially slowing home price appreciation.
Looking ahead, predictive models suggest that average home prices in New Horizons may continue to appreciate, but at a more moderate pace. Over the next five years, average home prices could potentially reach around $650,000 to $700,000, assuming steady economic conditions and barring any major market disruptions. Average rent prices are expected to follow a similar trend, potentially reaching $1,500 to $1,600 per month within the same timeframe.
In summary, New Horizons has demonstrated strong homeownership trends, with property values appreciating significantly over the past decade. The interplay between federal interest rates, homeownership rates, and property values has shaped the neighborhood's real estate landscape. While recent market corrections and higher interest rates have slowed price growth, the overall trajectory for both home prices and rent in New Horizons remains positive, reflecting the area's desirability and stable community dynamics.