Robbery rates have remained relatively low and inconsistent. The highest number of robberies reported was 4 in 2015, translating to 0.41 incidents per 1,000 residents and 0.08% of the state's robberies that year. By 2022, there were no reported robberies, suggesting an improvement in this category of violent crime.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of cases peaked at 32 in 2020, representing a rate of 3.26 per 1,000 residents and 0.13% of the state's total. However, there was a significant decrease to 5 cases in 2021, followed by an increase to 16 cases in 2022. This volatility in aggravated assault rates warrants close monitoring and community-based prevention efforts.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 674 per square mile in 2010 to 700 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crimes, though with significant year-to-year variations. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. The percentage of white residents decreased from 87% in 2013 to 79% in 2022, while the black population increased from 4% to 9% during the same period. However, this demographic shift does not show a strong direct correlation with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a slight overall increase in violent crimes. Based on the historical data and current trends, we project that the total number of violent crimes may reach approximately 25-30 incidents per year by 2029. This forecast suggests a potential return to levels seen in the mid-2010s, rather than the extreme lows or highs observed in recent years.

In summary, Millersville has experienced varying trends across different categories of violent crime. While murder rates remain exceptionally low, there are concerns about fluctuating rates of rape and aggravated assault. The city's law enforcement and community leaders should focus on strategies to address these specific areas of concern, particularly given the projected slight increase in overall violent crime rates in the coming years. Continued monitoring and community engagement will be crucial in maintaining public safety and adapting to changing crime patterns in this growing Tennessee city.