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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Mill Run, a neighborhood in Nashville, Tennessee, has experienced significant changes in its real estate market over the past decade. The area has seen a notable increase in homeownership rates and consistent growth in average home prices. From 2019 to 2022, the homeownership rate in Mill Run rose from 72% to 83%, coinciding with a substantial increase in average home prices. During this period, the average home price surged from $280,571 to $424,527, representing a 51% increase in just three years. This trend suggests that despite rising prices, more residents were able to purchase homes, possibly due to favorable economic conditions or increased desirability of the neighborhood.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in Mill Run. In 2019, when the federal interest rate was 2.16%, the homeownership rate stood at 72%. As interest rates dropped to 0.38% in 2020 and 0.08% in 2021, homeownership rates increased to 85% and 89% respectively. This aligns with the established trend that lower interest rates generally encourage homeownership due to more affordable financing options. However, even as interest rates began to rise in 2022 to 1.68%, the homeownership rate remained relatively high at 83%, indicating that other factors may also be influencing homeownership in the area.
The rental market in Mill Run has shown interesting trends in relation to homeownership rates. As the percentage of renters decreased from 28% in 2019 to 17% in 2022, average rent prices experienced fluctuations. In 2019, the average rent was $1,753, which decreased slightly to $1,710 in 2020, possibly due to the economic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. However, average rent rebounded to $1,715 in 2022. Despite the decrease in the proportion of renters, rent prices have remained relatively stable, suggesting a continued demand for rental properties in the area.
Recent data shows that the average home price in Mill Run slightly decreased from $424,527 in 2022 to $416,523 in 2023, indicating a minor correction in the market. In 2024, there was a slight uptick to $417,475, suggesting stabilization. This coincides with a significant increase in federal interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates may contribute to a slowdown in home price appreciation and could potentially impact future homeownership rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, it is anticipated that average home prices in Mill Run will continue to appreciate, but at a more moderate pace compared to the rapid growth seen in recent years. The high interest rate environment may temper price increases. For average rent prices, an upward trend is expected, potentially at a rate slightly above inflation, as the neighborhood maintains its appeal and the overall cost of living increases.
In summary, Mill Run has experienced a significant shift towards homeownership in recent years, accompanied by substantial increases in average home prices. The rental market, while shrinking in proportion, has maintained relatively stable prices. The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates has been evident, with lower rates corresponding to higher ownership percentages. As we move forward, the neighborhood's real estate market is likely to face new dynamics influenced by higher interest rates and evolving economic conditions.