Loading Content...
Lisbon, Iowa: Small City Faces Rising Aggravated Assault Trend Amidst Low Overall Violent Crime
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Lisbon, Iowa, a small Midwestern city with a population of 2,151 in 2022 and an area of 2.13 square miles, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2017, the city experienced an increase in total violent crimes from 0 to 6, while its population grew from 2,213 to 2,459. This change in crime rates offers insights into the evolving dynamics of public safety in a growing small community.
The murder rate in Lisbon has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2017, a notable stability given the population growth. Similarly, reported incidents of rape and robbery have also consistently been zero during this timeframe. These statistics have maintained a 0% contribution to the state's corresponding crime statistics and a rate of 0 per 1,000 people for each of these crime categories.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant change among violent crimes in Lisbon. In 2010, there were no reported cases, but by 2013, there were 3 incidents, representing 0.07% of the state's total. This number doubled to 6 cases by 2017, accounting for 0.12% of the state's aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0 in 2010 to 1.30 in 2013 and further to 2.44 in 2017. This trend indicates a growing concern for public safety, despite the overall low numbers.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population growth and the increase in aggravated assaults. As the population grew from 2,213 in 2010 to 2,459 in 2017, the number of aggravated assaults increased from 0 to 6. The population density also increased from 1,040 per square mile in 2010 to 1,156 in 2017, potentially contributing to more interpersonal conflicts leading to assaults.
Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see a further increase in aggravated assaults if current trends continue. The number could potentially reach 9-10 incidents per year, assuming a similar rate of increase and population growth.
In summary, while Lisbon has maintained zero incidents in most violent crime categories, the rise in aggravated assaults is the most significant trend observed. This increase, though small in absolute numbers, represents a noteworthy shift for a city of this size. As the community continues to grow, local law enforcement and policymakers may need to focus on prevention strategies specifically targeting aggravated assaults to maintain overall public safety.
