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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Lindale, located in Texas, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates over the years, alongside significant population growth. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 48.35%, from 182 to 94 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 29.32%, from 15,394 to 19,907 residents, indicating a divergence between crime rates and population growth.
Burglary trends in the city show a substantial decline over time. In 2010, there were 28 burglaries reported, which decreased to 9 in 2022, representing a 67.86% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 1.82 in 2010 to 0.45 in 2022, a 75.27% decrease. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated but generally decreased, from 0.02% in 2010 to 0.01% in 2022. This significant drop in burglaries suggests improved security measures or more effective law enforcement strategies in the area.
Larceny-theft incidents also showed a downward trend. In 2010, there were 146 reported cases, which decreased to 67 in 2022, a 54.11% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents declined from 9.48 in 2010 to 3.37 in 2022, a 64.45% decrease. The city's proportion of state larceny-theft cases remained relatively stable at 0.02-0.03% throughout the period. This substantial decrease in larceny-theft rates indicates improved community vigilance or successful crime prevention programs.
Motor vehicle theft trends showed more volatility. In 2010, there were 8 reported cases, which increased to 18 in 2022, a 125% increase. However, when adjusted for population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents only increased from 0.52 in 2010 to 0.90 in 2022, a 73.08% rise. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0.02% in 2022. This increase in motor vehicle thefts, even when accounting for population growth, suggests a need for targeted prevention strategies in this area.
Arson incidents were rare and sporadic in the city. Only two years in the dataset (2011 and 2017) reported a single arson case each, with the city accounting for 0.03% and 0.04% of state arson cases respectively. The infrequency of arson cases makes it difficult to establish meaningful trends or correlations.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $60,706 in 2013 to $72,806 in 2022, property crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the increase in homeownership rates (from 74% in 2013 to 80% in 2022) and the decrease in property crime rates, suggesting that higher homeownership might contribute to community stability and lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), property crime rates in Lindale could potentially decrease by another 20-25%. This projection assumes the continuation of current trends and the effectiveness of ongoing crime prevention measures.
In summary, Lindale has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in overall property crime rates, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft, despite population growth. The increase in motor vehicle thefts presents an area for focused attention. The correlations between rising median income, increased homeownership, and decreasing crime rates suggest that economic factors and community stability play significant roles in crime reduction. These trends position Lindale as a community effectively managing property crime challenges while experiencing economic growth.