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Kimball, Minnesota: A Decade of Remarkably Low Property Crime Rates Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Kimball, located in Minnesota, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2019, the city experienced minimal property crime activity, with a total of only 6 reported incidents. This low crime rate is particularly noteworthy given the population growth from 2,000 in 2010 to 2,506 in 2019, representing a 25.3% increase.
The burglary trend in the city shows remarkable stability, with zero reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2019. This absence of burglaries, despite population growth, indicates an exceptionally low burglary rate per 1,000 people, consistently remaining at 0. The percentage of state burglaries attributable to the city also remained at 0% throughout this period, suggesting that local factors may be contributing to an environment that deters burglaries effectively.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city were sporadic and infrequent. There were four reported cases in 2010, one in 2012, and one in 2015, with no incidents reported in the other years. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 2 per 1,000 in 2010 and dropping to 0.45 per 1,000 in 2015. The percentage of state larceny-thefts attributable to the city remained at 0% throughout, indicating that these incidents had a negligible impact on statewide statistics.
Motor vehicle theft in the city was non-existent throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2019, with zero reported cases. This absence of motor vehicle thefts, despite population growth, resulted in a consistent rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state motor vehicle thefts. This trend suggests highly effective prevention measures or societal factors that have eliminated this type of crime in the city.
Similarly, arson incidents were completely absent from the city's crime reports from 2010 to 2019. The arson rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state arsons attributable to the city remained consistently at 0. This absence of arson cases, even as the population grew, indicates a community environment that has successfully deterred this type of crime.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, a notable relationship emerges with homeownership rates. The consistently high percentage of owner-occupied housing, ranging from 86% in 2013 to 90% in 2019, coincides with the extremely low property crime rates. This correlation suggests that high homeownership rates may contribute to a stable community environment that discourages property crimes.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the current low crime rates. Given the consistent absence or minimal occurrence of property crimes over the past decade, coupled with the stable socioeconomic factors, it is projected that Kimball will likely maintain its exceptionally low property crime rates through 2029.
In summary, Kimball stands out as a community with remarkably low property crime rates despite population growth. The absence of burglaries, motor vehicle thefts, and arsons, coupled with only sporadic and minimal larceny-theft incidents, paints a picture of a safe and secure environment. The strong correlation with high homeownership rates suggests that community stability and investment in the area may play a significant role in maintaining this low crime environment. As the city continues to grow, maintaining these positive trends will likely be crucial for its future development and the well-being of its residents.
