Robbery trends in the city show a general decline. In 2010, there were 40 robberies reported, compared to 27 in 2022. This represents a decrease from 0.702 to 0.392 robberies per 1,000 people. However, the city's percentage of state robberies remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 0.54% and 0.63% from 2010 to 2022. This suggests that while robberies have decreased in absolute numbers, the city's contribution to state-wide robbery rates has remained consistent.

Aggravated assault cases in Kannapolis have shown an overall increasing trend. In 2010, there were 50 reported cases, which rose to 62 in 2022. This translates to an increase from 0.878 to 0.899 cases per 1,000 people. However, the city's percentage of state aggravated assaults decreased from 0.37% to 0.26% during this period, indicating that the increase in Kannapolis was less pronounced than the state-wide trend.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 1,700 per square mile in 2010 to 2,057 in 2022, violent crime rates also generally increased. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between changes in racial demographics and crime rates. The percentage of white residents decreased from 69% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, while the percentage of Black residents increased from 18% to 20%, and those identifying as two or more races increased from 1% to 4%. These demographic shifts coincided with changes in crime rates, suggesting a potential relationship.

Applying predictive models based on current trends, it's projected that by 2029, Kannapolis may see a slight increase in overall violent crime rates. Murder rates are expected to stabilize around 3-4 cases per year, while robbery rates may continue to decline gradually. Aggravated assaults are likely to remain the most prevalent violent crime, potentially reaching 70-75 cases annually.

In summary, Kannapolis has experienced complex changes in its violent crime landscape against a backdrop of significant population growth. While some crime categories like robbery have shown improvement, others such as murder and aggravated assault have increased. The city's changing demographics and increasing population density appear to be influential factors in these trends. As Kannapolis continues to grow, addressing these evolving crime patterns will be crucial for maintaining public safety and community well-being.