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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds, a neighborhood in Allentown, Pennsylvania, has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. The area has seen a notable decline in homeownership rates, dropping from 33% in 2013 to 21% in 2022. Simultaneously, average home prices have surged dramatically, rising from $38,596 in 2013 to $139,865 in 2022, representing a 262% increase. This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and home prices suggests that rising property values may be making it more difficult for potential homebuyers to enter the market.
The trends in homeownership rates show some correlation with federal interest rates, although the relationship is not always straightforward. For instance, from 2013 to 2015, relatively low interest rates (0.11% to 0.13%) coincided with a slight decrease in homeownership from 33% to 25%. As interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2016 onwards, reaching 1.68% by 2022, the homeownership rate remained relatively stable around 25-27% before dropping to 21% in 2022. This indicates that while interest rates play a role, other factors such as local economic conditions and housing supply also significantly influence homeownership trends.
The renter population in Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds has grown considerably, with the percentage of renter-occupied units increasing from 67% in 2013 to 79% in 2022. This shift coincides with a steady rise in average rent prices, which increased from $804 in 2013 to $1,165 in 2022, a 45% increase. The growing renter population, combined with rising rent prices, indicates a strong demand for rental properties in the area. This trend is further supported by the neighborhood's population growth, which increased from 6,691 in 2013 to 8,816 in 2022, potentially driving up demand for housing and contributing to the rise in both home prices and rents.
Recent data shows that average home prices in Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds continued their upward trajectory, reaching $152,941 in 2023 and $165,673 in 2024. This represents a 9% year-over-year increase from 2022 to 2023, and an 8.3% increase from 2023 to 2024. Interestingly, these price increases occurred despite relatively high federal interest rates of 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, suggesting strong local demand for housing that outweighs the potential dampening effect of higher borrowing costs.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, average home prices in Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds are expected to continue their upward trajectory, potentially reaching around $220,000 by 2029. This projection is based on the consistent year-over-year increases observed in recent years. Similarly, average rent prices are likely to follow this upward trend, potentially surpassing $1,500 per month within the next five years if current patterns persist.
In summary, Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds has transformed into a predominantly renter-occupied neighborhood with rapidly appreciating property values. The declining homeownership rates, coupled with rising home prices and rents, suggest a competitive and potentially challenging housing market for prospective buyers. However, these trends also indicate strong investment potential for property owners and developers in the area. As the neighborhood continues to evolve, it will be crucial to monitor how these housing market dynamics impact the local community and shape the future character of Jordan Heights/Old Fairgrounds.