Robbery trends show a decline over time. The city experienced a peak of 2 robberies in 2010 and 2016, with several years reporting zero incidents. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.28 in 2010 and decreased to 0 by 2022. The percentage of state robberies attributed to the city ranged from 0% to 0.04%, indicating a minimal contribution to state-level robbery statistics.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated, peaking at 13 in 2012 and dropping to a low of 1 in 2018 and 2019. The rate per 1,000 people varied from a high of 1.79 in 2012 to a low of 0.16 in 2018 and 2019. The city's contribution to state-level aggravated assaults ranged from 0.01% to 0.06%, showing a relatively small impact on overall state figures.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 612 people per square mile in 2010 to 538 in 2022, there was a general downward trend in violent crime incidents. Additionally, the racial composition of the city, which has remained predominantly white (84% in 2022), shows little correlation with crime rate fluctuations.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the historical data and current trends, we can anticipate: 1. Murder rates are likely to remain very low, with potentially 0-1 incidents over the five-year period. 2. Rape incidents may occur sporadically, with an estimated 1-2 cases possible in the forecast period. 3. Robbery rates are expected to stay low, with 0-2 incidents projected over five years. 4. Aggravated assaults may continue to fluctuate but are likely to average 3-5 incidents annually.

In summary, Huntingdon has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The city's contribution to state-level crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. The observed correlation between decreasing population density and declining violent crime rates suggests that the city's demographic changes may have played a role in its improving safety profile. As the community moves forward, maintaining vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in sustaining and potentially improving upon these trends.