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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Oakleigh's Housing Market Dynamics: 2013-2022 Oakleigh, a historic neighborhood in Mobile, Alabama, has experienced significant changes in its housing market from 2013 to 2022. The area saw a substantial decrease in homeownership rates, dropping from 63% to 47%, while average home prices increased from $41,943 to $59,792, representing a 42.6% rise. This inverse relationship between declining homeownership and rising home prices suggests that despite increasing property values, fewer residents were able to become homeowners.
Federal Interest Rates and Homeownership The federal interest rate trends appear to have influenced homeownership rates in Oakleigh. In 2013, when homeownership was at 63%, the federal interest rate was 0.11%. As interest rates began to rise, particularly from 2016 onwards, homeownership rates steadily declined. By 2022, with the interest rate at 1.68%, homeownership had fallen to 47%. This trend aligns with the general principle that higher interest rates can make mortgages less affordable, potentially discouraging homeownership.
Rental Market Trends Renter percentages in Oakleigh increased from 37% in 2013 to 53% in 2022, mirroring the decline in homeownership. Average rent prices fluctuated during this period, starting at $743 in 2013, peaking at $840 in 2017, before decreasing to $647 in 2022. This fluctuation in rent prices, coupled with the increasing renter population, suggests a complex rental market influenced by factors such as housing supply and local economic conditions.
Recent Trends and Future Projections Recent data shows that average home prices in Oakleigh decreased slightly from $59,792 in 2022 to $56,591 in 2023, before showing a modest increase to $57,389 in 2024. This recent trend occurs against the backdrop of significantly higher federal interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates may be contributing to a slowdown in home price appreciation.
Five-Year Forecast Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate that average home prices in Oakleigh may continue to experience moderate growth, potentially reaching around $65,000 by 2029. Average rent prices, which have shown volatility in recent years, are expected to stabilize and potentially increase to approximately $750 per month over the same period.
Summary In summary, Oakleigh has experienced a significant shift from homeownership to renting over the past decade, with homeownership rates declining by 16 percentage points. Despite this trend, average home prices have generally increased, albeit with some fluctuations. The rental market has expanded, but average rent prices have not shown consistent growth. Recent higher interest rates may be moderating home price appreciation, and future trends suggest modest growth in both home prices and rents.