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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Memphis, Texas, a small city in the northern part of the state, has experienced notable changes in its housing market over the past decade. The city has seen an overall increase in homeownership rates, alongside fluctuations in home prices and rent costs. This analysis examines the trends in homeownership, home prices, and rental markets from 2013 to 2024, as well as the influence of federal interest rates on these patterns.
The homeownership rate in Memphis has shown an upward trend from 2013 to 2022, with some variations. Starting at 65% in 2013, the rate increased to 69% by 2022. This rise in homeownership coincided with a significant increase in average home prices, reaching $80,377 in 2022. The trend in homeownership appears to be influenced by federal interest rates, which remained relatively low from 2013 to 2020, ranging from 0.09% to 2.16%. This period of low interest rates likely contributed to the overall increase in homeownership, as exemplified by the jump from 64% to 68% when interest rates dropped from 2.16% in 2019 to 0.38% in 2020.
The rental market in Memphis has shown an inverse relationship to homeownership rates. The percentage of renters decreased from 35% in 2013 to 31% in 2022. Average rent prices have fluctuated during this period, starting at $536 in 2013, dropping to $329 in 2014, and then generally trending upward to reach $579 in 2022. This increase in rent prices, combined with the city's relatively stable population (2,324 in 2019 to 2,179 in 2022), may have influenced some residents to transition from renting to homeownership.
Recent data reveals an interesting trend in Memphis's housing market. Average home prices decreased from $80,377 in 2022 to $75,466 in 2023, and further declined to $65,801 in 2024. This downward trend occurred despite a significant increase in federal interest rates, which rose from 1.68% in 2022 to 5.02% in 2023, and further to 5.33% in 2024. This inverse relationship between interest rates and home prices is somewhat atypical and may be influenced by local market factors specific to Memphis.
Looking ahead, predictive models forecast that average home prices in Memphis may continue to experience some volatility over the next five years but could stabilize or potentially increase slightly if current economic conditions persist. Rent prices are expected to continue their gradual upward trend, possibly reaching around $650-$700 by 2029. However, these projections are subject to change based on various economic factors and local market conditions.
In conclusion, Memphis, Texas has experienced a general increase in homeownership rates over the past decade, corresponding with fluctuations in average home prices and rent costs. The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates has generally followed expected patterns, with lower rates coinciding with higher homeownership. The recent decrease in home prices despite rising interest rates presents an interesting anomaly that may warrant further observation in the coming years.