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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Hornbeak, a small community in Tennessee, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2020, the town experienced minimal violent crime activity, with only two reported incidents of violent crime throughout the entire decade. Concurrently, the population of Hornbeak saw a gradual decline, decreasing from 1,024 residents in 2010 to 910 in 2020, representing an 11.13% reduction.
The murder rate in Hornbeak has remained consistently at zero throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2020. This absence of murders, maintaining at 0 per 1,000 residents, stands in stark contrast to the population fluctuations observed during the same timeframe. The consistent zero percentage of state murder rates further underscores the town's remarkable safety record in this category, suggesting a community largely free from the most severe forms of violent crime.
Similarly, rape incidents in Hornbeak have been non-existent from 2010 to 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 residents has remained at zero, unaffected by the population changes. This consistent absence of reported rapes, reflected in the 0% contribution to state rape statistics, indicates a community that has been successful in maintaining a safe environment for its residents in this regard.
Robbery trends in Hornbeak mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents from 2010 to 2020. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents has stayed at zero, regardless of population fluctuations. The town's 0% contribution to state robbery statistics further emphasizes its minimal impact on broader crime trends in this category.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that has shown any activity in Hornbeak. The town recorded one incident each in 2010 and 2014, with zero incidents in all other years from 2010 to 2020. These isolated incidents translated to rates of approximately 0.98 and 1.01 per 1,000 residents in 2010 and 2014, respectively, due to the changing population. Despite these occurrences, the town's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics remained at 0%, indicating that these incidents had minimal impact on broader state crime trends.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, it's important to note that the extremely low crime rates in Hornbeak make it challenging to establish strong correlations. However, we can observe that the two instances of aggravated assault occurred during years when the population was higher (1,024 in 2010 and 988 in 2014) compared to later years. This might suggest a very weak correlation between population size and the occurrence of aggravated assault, but the sample size is too small to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends in Hornbeak is challenging due to the minimal historical data. However, based on the consistent pattern of extremely low violent crime rates over the past decade, it's reasonable to project that this trend will likely continue for the next five years, up to 2029. The town is expected to maintain its near-zero violent crime rates across all categories, with the possibility of isolated incidents of aggravated assault occurring sporadically, similar to the pattern observed in the past.
In summary, Hornbeak stands out as a remarkably safe community with respect to violent crime. The consistent absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, coupled with only two isolated incidents of aggravated assault over a decade, paints a picture of a peaceful small town. This trend of minimal violent crime, persisting through population changes, suggests that Hornbeak has established and maintained effective community safety measures, contributing to its character as a secure place to live.