Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Homeland, located in Georgia, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2018, the city experienced a total of 5 reported property crimes, with a significant fluctuation in its population from 2,933 in 2010 to 2,790 in 2022, representing a 4.88% decrease over this period.
The burglary trend in the city shows minimal activity, with only one reported case in 2010. This translates to a rate of 0.34 burglaries per 1,000 people in 2010. Given the lack of reported burglaries in subsequent years, the trend indicates a 100% decrease from 2010 to 2018. The percentage of state burglaries attributed to this city remained at 0% throughout the reported period, suggesting that burglary has not been a significant concern for local law enforcement.
Larceny-theft incidents in the city were limited to three reported cases in 2010, equating to a rate of 1.02 thefts per 1,000 people. Similar to burglary, there were no reported larceny-theft cases from 2011 to 2018, indicating a 100% decrease. The city's contribution to the state's larceny-theft statistics remained at 0% throughout the period, suggesting that this type of crime has had minimal impact on the overall state figures.
Motor vehicle theft in the city showed an unusual pattern, with no reported cases in 2010 and 2011, followed by a single incident in 2012, and then reverting to zero reported cases from 2013 to 2018. The 2012 incident resulted in a rate of 0.38 thefts per 1,000 people for that year. Interestingly, this single case accounted for 0.01% of the state's motor vehicle thefts in 2012, highlighting how even a small number of incidents can impact state-level statistics in a city of this size.
Arson cases were not reported in the city throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2018, maintaining a consistent 0% contribution to the state's arson statistics. This absence of arson cases suggests that fire-related property crimes have not been a concern for the community during this time.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city's population density decreased from 1,173 people per square mile in 2010 to 952 in 2018, coinciding with the overall decrease in reported property crimes. This could suggest that lower population density might contribute to reduced property crime rates, although the limited number of reported crimes makes it difficult to establish a strong correlation.
Median income data, available from 2013 onwards, shows an increase from $36,994 in 2013 to $38,383 in 2018. This modest income growth coincides with the period of zero reported property crimes from 2013 to 2018, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions might contribute to lower crime rates.
The racial composition of the city has remained relatively stable, with the white population comprising the majority (ranging from 53% to 61% between 2013 and 2018), followed by the black population (23% to 31% in the same period). The stability in racial demographics during a period of low reported crime suggests that racial composition may not have been a significant factor in the city's property crime trends.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited and sporadic nature of reported crimes. However, based on the observed trends, it's reasonable to predict that property crime rates will likely remain low, potentially fluctuating between 0 to 1 incidents per year, assuming no significant changes in socioeconomic conditions or law enforcement strategies.
In summary, Homeland has demonstrated remarkably low property crime rates from 2010 to 2018, with only a handful of incidents reported over this period. The city's contribution to state-level property crime statistics has been minimal, suggesting effective local crime prevention strategies or inherently low crime tendencies. While the limited data makes it difficult to draw robust conclusions, the trends indicate a generally safe environment with respect to property crimes, positioning the city favorably for continued low crime rates in the near future.