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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Settler's Point, a neighborhood in Gilbert, Arizona, has experienced significant changes in its real estate landscape over the past decade. From 2013 to 2022, the area witnessed a notable decline in homeownership rates, dropping from 91% to 68%. This 23 percentage point decrease coincided with a substantial rise in average home prices, which more than doubled from $253,173 in 2013 to $609,091 in 2022. This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and home prices suggests that rising property values may have priced out some potential buyers, shifting the balance towards a higher proportion of renters.
Federal interest rates played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends. From 2013 to 2016, interest rates remained historically low, hovering around 0.1% to 0.4%. During this period, homeownership rates in Settler's Point remained relatively stable, ranging from 89% to 91%. However, as interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2017 onwards, reaching 1.68% by 2022, homeownership rates declined more rapidly. This trend aligns with the general principle that higher interest rates can make mortgages less affordable, potentially discouraging homeownership.
As homeownership decreased, the percentage of renters in Settler's Point increased from 9% in 2013 to 32% in 2022. Average rent prices showed volatility during this period, rising from $1,875 in 2013 to a peak of $2,409 in 2018, before declining to $1,957 in 2022. This fluctuation in rent prices, coupled with the increasing renter population, suggests a complex interplay of supply and demand factors in the local rental market.
In 2023 and 2024, Settler's Point experienced a slight correction in the housing market. The average home price decreased from its 2022 peak of $609,091 to $577,792 in 2023, before rebounding slightly to $595,647 in 2024. This movement coincided with a sharp increase in federal interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and further to 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates likely contributed to the moderation in home prices by potentially reducing buyer demand.
Looking ahead, based on the historical data and current trends, we can project potential scenarios for the next five years. Average home prices in Settler's Point may continue to experience moderate growth, albeit at a slower pace than the rapid increases seen in the early 2020s. We might expect average home prices to reach approximately $650,000 to $700,000 by 2029. Average rent prices could potentially stabilize and show gradual increases, possibly reaching around $2,200 to $2,400 per month by 2029, assuming continued demand for rental properties in the area.
In summary, Settler's Point has undergone significant changes in its real estate landscape. The neighborhood has seen a shift from predominantly owner-occupied housing to a more balanced mix of owners and renters. This transition occurred alongside substantial increases in average home prices and fluctuating rent prices. The interplay between federal interest rates, local market conditions, and broader economic factors has shaped these trends, creating a dynamic and evolving real estate environment in this Gilbert, Arizona neighborhood.