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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Winter Haven, Florida, zip code 33884, has experienced notable shifts in homeownership rates and housing prices over the past decade. This area, known for its proximity to Legoland Florida Resort, has seen fluctuations in its real estate market that reflect broader economic trends and local dynamics.
The homeownership rate in zip code 33884 has shown an interesting trend, initially decreasing from 81% in 2013 to 73% in 2017, before rebounding to 77% by 2022. This pattern coincides with significant changes in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $128,566, which steadily increased to $310,590 by 2022, representing a substantial 141.6% increase over nine years. This rapid appreciation in home values may have initially priced out some potential buyers, contributing to the decline in homeownership rates. However, the subsequent stabilization and slight increase in homeownership suggest that the market may have adjusted, with incomes potentially catching up to housing costs or more favorable financing options becoming available.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in the area. The period from 2013 to 2016 saw historically low interest rates, ranging from 0.11% to 0.4%. This low-interest environment likely contributed to the initial surge in home prices as borrowing became more affordable. As interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2017 (1%) to 2019 (2.16%), we observe that homeownership rates stabilized at 73%. The dramatic drop in interest rates in 2020 (0.38%) and 2021 (0.08%) correlates with the subsequent increase in homeownership to 77% by 2022, as lower borrowing costs made homeownership more accessible despite rising home prices.
Renter percentages in zip code 33884 initially increased from 19% in 2013 to 27% in 2017, mirroring the decline in homeownership during this period. However, the renter population decreased to 23% by 2022. Average rent prices have shown a general upward trend, rising from $1,168 in 2013 to $1,361 in 2021, an increase of 16.5%. Interestingly, there was a slight decrease in average rent to $1,166 in 2022, possibly reflecting market adjustments or increased housing supply. The population growth from 27,623 in 2013 to 34,773 in 2022 likely contributed to the overall demand for rental properties, supporting the upward trend in rent prices despite fluctuations in the renter percentage.
Looking at the most recent data, the average home price in zip code 33884 reached $313,920 in 2023 and slightly increased to $314,658 in 2024. This represents a modest 0.24% increase from 2023 to 2024, indicating a potential slowdown in the rapid price appreciation seen in previous years. Concurrently, federal interest rates have risen significantly, reaching 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher interest rates may contribute to a cooling of the housing market, potentially affecting both home prices and homeownership rates in the coming years.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, we anticipate a moderate increase in average home prices, potentially reaching around $340,000 to $350,000 by 2029. This projection assumes a slower rate of appreciation compared to the rapid growth seen in the past decade. For average rent prices, we expect a continued upward trend, potentially reaching $1,500 to $1,600 per month by 2029, reflecting ongoing population growth and demand for housing in the area.
In summary, zip code 33884 has experienced significant changes in its real estate market, characterized by substantial home price appreciation, fluctuating homeownership rates, and generally increasing rent prices. The interplay between federal interest rates, population growth, and local economic factors has shaped these trends. Moving forward, the market appears to be entering a phase of more moderate growth, with potential challenges arising from higher interest rates balanced against continued demand for housing in this growing Florida community.