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Hollywood Park, Texas: Property Crime Declines Amid Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Hollywood Park, a small town in Texas with an area of 1.45 square miles, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates alongside population growth over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased by 39.47%, from 114 to 69 incidents. During this same period, the population increased by 17.24%, from 5,412 to 6,345 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant volatility. In 2010, there were 9 burglaries reported, which peaked at 41 incidents in both 2014 and 2015. By 2022, this number had dramatically decreased to just 3 burglaries. The burglary rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching a high of 6.59 per 1,000 in 2014 and dropping to 0.47 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's share of state burglaries also varied, peaking at 0.04% in 2015 and falling to 0% in 2022, indicating a substantial improvement in this area of property crime relative to the state.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, demonstrated a general downward trend. From 102 incidents in 2010, it decreased to 55 in 2022, a 46.08% reduction. The rate per 1,000 people fell from 18.85 in 2010 to 8.67 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft remained relatively stable, consistently around 0.01% to 0.02% of the state total, suggesting that the local trend aligns with broader state patterns.
Motor vehicle theft showed more variability. Starting with 3 incidents in 2010, it increased to 11 in 2022, a 266.67% rise. However, due to population growth, the rate per 1,000 people only increased from 0.55 to 1.73. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained low, fluctuating between 0% and 0.01%, indicating that this crime type, while increasing locally, remained a small fraction of the state's total.
Arson incidents were rare in Hollywood Park. Only one case was reported in 2015, representing 0.04% of state arsons that year. In all other years, no arsons were reported, suggesting this is not a significant concern for the community.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between median income and property crime rates. As median income increased from $79,681 in 2017 to $89,504 in 2021, total property crimes decreased from 83 to 58 incidents. Additionally, there seems to be a weak correlation between racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage increased slightly from 64% in 2017 to 69% in 2022, property crimes showed a slight overall decrease.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029, Hollywood Park may see a further reduction in burglaries and larceny thefts, potentially reaching historic lows. However, motor vehicle thefts might continue their upward trend, possibly reaching 15-20 incidents annually. The overall property crime rate is expected to stabilize or slightly decrease, barring any significant socioeconomic changes.
In summary, Hollywood Park has made significant strides in reducing property crimes, particularly burglaries and larceny thefts, over the past decade. The town's growing population and increasing median income appear to correlate with these positive trends. However, the rise in motor vehicle thefts presents an area for focused attention. These trends suggest that Hollywood Park is becoming increasingly safe in terms of property crime, potentially enhancing its attractiveness as a residential community.
